An Analysis of Colombia’s 2026 Presidential Election

On the Northern Hemisphere’s Midsummer’s Eve, Abelardo Gabriel de la Espriella Otero barely defeated progressive Iván Cepeda Castro, a victory more for Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu than for the Colombian people and follows a recent trend of contested, extremely narrow conservative electoral victories in Latin America.  In alphabetical order, Argentina, Bolivia, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador, El Salvador, Honduras, Paraguay and Perú are now back in the fold of the Monroe Doctrine (and its Israeli corollary).  As in all of the elections involved, foreign interference through massive infusions of foreign cash and possibly discrete cyber intervention into social media and electoral systems was alleged by allies of the defeated candidate as the reason for his defeat and, in this world where verity seems nonexistent, who knows whether those allegations have any merit.  As in the contested 2020 election in the United States, there will be no meaningful investigations in Colombia, despite President Gustavo Francisco Petro Urrego’s urgent pleas to the Colombian judiciary.

Electoral Results

The final stages of the Colombian electoral process pursuant to which preliminary results are formally scrutinized before declaration of final results have concluded with minimum changes.  Turnout for the final election was relatively high, approximately 63.6% of the eligible electorate participated (as has coincidently occurred in most challenged elections in the Western Hemisphere during the past two decades), with preliminary results showing 12,959,542 (49.66%) votes for Abelardo Gabriel de la Espriella Otero versus 12,708,712 (48.7%) for Ivan Mr. Cepeda Castro; a difference of 250,830 votes, less than 1%.  This was, percentagewise, the closest election in Colombian history.  The next closest election, in 1970, led to a civil war due to a perception that the vote had been manipulated at the last minute and the election stolen.  Iván Cepeda has conceded the election and urged his followers to avoid violence.  Current president Gustavo Francisco Petro Urrego however and many of his supporters insist that, as in 1970, the election was stolen and promise that eventually, somehow, their allegations will be proven, a promise which however now seems moot.  As the defeated candidate in the presidential election, Mr. Cepeda will be entitled to a seat in the Colombian Senate for the next four years adding one more member to those held by his party.  In the initial round, de la Espriella won 43.7% of the popular vote while Mr. Cepeda followed with 40.9% of the vote.  This will be only the second time since the second round runoff system for the two leading candidates was adopted that the victor will have failed to attain the backing of a majority of the participating electorate, a result made possible by Colombia’s “none of the above” option referred to as the “voto en blanco”.  So, not a mandate but a victory just the same, and one promising drastic changes.

History of closest presidential elections in Colombian History
YearVictor v LoserPercentages Victor v LoserDifference in VotesDifference in Percentages
2026Abelardo de la Espriella v Iván Cepeda49.66% v 48.7%250,830 votes0.96%
1970Misael Pastrana Borrero v Gustavo Rojas Pinilla50.8% v 49.2%63,557 votes1.6%
1994Ernesto Samper v Andrés Pastrana50.5% v 48.4%156,585 votes2.1%
1978Julio César Turbay v Belisario Betancur49.5% v 46.59%147,061 votes2.71%

The Candidates:

After an initial round of voting left all other candidates far behind, Abelardo Gabriel de la Espriella who refers to himself as the “Tiger” and mild mannered progressive Iván Cepeda Castro advanced to the second round.  Mr. de la Espriella is a firebrand admirer of Donald Trump, Benjamin Netanyahu, Javier Gerardo Milei, Nasry Asfura and Nayib Bukele as well as a follower of Colombia’s former president, Alvaro Uribe Velez and has historical links to leaders of the Autodefensas Unidas (United Self-Defense Forces) de Colombia, especially through his association with the foremer head of such group, Salvatore Mancuso, a member of social circles frequented by the de la Espriella family.  Mr. Cepeda, the son of an assassinated Colombian Senator (and Communist Party leader), was an ally of current Colombian president Gustavo Francisco Petro Urrego and a bitter enemy of former president Alvaro Uribe Velez.  Specific detailed biographical data for each of the two final candidates compiled from information available on Wikipedia is provided following the end of this article.

Electoral Analysis

Six different factors explain the results of this election:

1.         The Petro factor

The election was, in large part, at least as far as the opposition to the current administration was concerned, a referendum on president Gustavo Francisco Petro Urrego who, ironically, has an approval rating of +7, i.e., 50% approval versus 43% disapproval.  As with most elections everywhere, it seem that in Colombia, rather than voting in favor of someone because of strongly held beliefs, voters vote against candidates and political parties based on fear, supporting candidates they neither respect nor trust.  Mr. Petro is a combative charismatic progressive who was easy to bait into constant battles on social media and, ironically, had problems similar to those experienced by United States president Donald Trump with the media and with his opposition, at least during Mr. Trump’s first term.

Despite the fact that unemployment and inflation dropped to record lows while commerce, foreign investment, tourism and the Colombian currency boomed, the Colombian opposition painted Mr. Petro as a pugnacious would be communist dictator interested in overthrowing the constitution and remaining in power, and as a tool of the remnants of Colombia’s decades old insurgency who was converting Colombia into a failed state such as Cuba and Venezuela.  Mr. Petro was described as a “guerrillero” because of his former membership in the insurgency that emerged when the 1970 Colombian presidential election was apparently stolen by united traditionalist political parties.

Mr. Cepeda was heavily criticized for the failure of the Petro administration in its efforts to attain a total peace, one with both insurgents and organized armed criminal elements, and Mr. Cepeda was characterized as a communist because of his assassinated father’s leadership of the Colombian communist party almost forty years ago.  He was also labelled by supporters of de la Espriella as a narcoterrorist soft on crime, largely because of his historic human rights activities.  The constitutional convention proposed by President Petro and Mr. Cepeda in order to implement policies that the Congress refused to consider was criticized as a plot to perpetuate Mr. Petro in power, even though Mr. de la Espriella’s hero, former president Alvaro Uribe Velez, had also at various times proposed a constitutional convention, and in his case, reelection was a definite goal.  One of Mr. Cepeda’s major problems however was probably his legal case against popular former president Alvaro Uribe Velez for witness tampering which energized and united Uribe’s followers while Mr. Cepeda’s laid-back style and lack of charisma and showmanship failed to energize students and younger voters in the manner attained by his predecessor, current president Gustavo Petro.

2.         The Vice Presidential Candidates

The choices for vice president were possibly determinative.  Senator Cepeda chose Senator Aida Marina Quilcué Vivas as his running mate, a morally noble and highly respected indigenous woman but who only completed the 8th grade and was relatively inexperienced outside of civic and indigenous affairs.  Mr. de la Espriella, in contrast, chose José Manuel Restrepo Abondano, a highly recognized academic, economist, journalist and former minister as his running mate.  That was especially important given Mr. de la Espriella’s total lack of experience in government or economics.  Given the margin of victory, less than one percent, the contrast between the vice presidential candidates may well have been determinative.  It may also prove determinative in the long term as the progressive movement in Colombia seems to lack an obvious viable future presidential candidate (other than possibly Senator Diana Carolina Corcho Mejia) while Mr. Restrepo would probably be a very strong presidential contender for 2030.  Speaking of the vice-presidency, current Afro-Colombian vice president Francia Elena Márquez Mina may also have tipped the balance in favor of Mr. de la Espriella by offering only tepid support for Mr. Cepeda, initially having opposed his candidacy in favor of his rival, Roy Leonardo Barreras Montealegre.  Her vice presidency proved an embarrassing failure for Afro Colombians as she was able to do little with the special role assigned to her as Minister of Equality in a ministry specifically designed for her, an embarrassment she blamed on lack of support from Mr. Petro.  The Ministry’s constitutional status was successfully legally attacked at the outset by Senator and defeated presidential candidate Paloma Valencia, a subsequent ally of Mr. de la Espriella based on technical grounds.

3.         Pacto Historico

Mr. Cepeda’s political party, the Pacto Historico, now the country’s largest political party, is highly energetic and idealistic but disorganized and riddled with internal feuds, too often made public, which have made it impossible to effectively manage.  Furthermore, its election-related decisions, rather than being strategic and pragmatic, tend to be idealistic and dogmatic, frequently rejecting potential political newcomers and alliances as insufficiently pure.  Mr. Petro dealt with those issues by greatly expanding his base, including many politicians from traditional parties opposed to him but, in doing so, he made unfortunate personnel decisions that resulted in corruption scandals he did not adequately address.  All of the foregoing proved costly to Mr. Cepeda.

4.         Legacy Media Antipathy

The Colombian media is owned by a few very wealthy individuals dedicated to maintaining the status quo and virulently opposed to Mr. Petro and to his political party, greatly exaggerating their shortcomings while ignoring serious issues involving his opponents.  Because Congress was controlled by Colombia’s traditional political parties (although the Pacto Histrico enjoyed a plurality of the seats) traditionalist legislators successfully blocked most of Mr. Petro’s initiatives, then blamed him, his party and Mr. Cepeda for the consequences, especially with respect to issues pertaining to deficiencies in healthcare and budget shortfalls.  The fact that unemployment and inflation dropped to record lows while commerce, foreign investment, tourism and the Colombian currency boomed was virtually ignored with many Colombians convinced that the country was on the verge of an economic collapse.

5.         Social Media

Mr. de la Espriella enjoyed a massive advantage in electoral funding, more than doubling the funds available to Mr. Cepeda from his own fortune, with multiples of such funds allegedly “invested” in the election by foreign governments, especially the United States and Israel and even cash strapped Argentina.  That facilitated the massive use of social media by Mr. de la Espriella’s campaign and its allies, much of it automatically generated from bots and much of it outlandishly inaccurate but very effective.  Mr. de la Espriella appropriated national symbols such as the flag, the jersey worn by the national football team and a sharp military salute, although he, like his hero, President Trump, had declined obligatory military service.  His slogan, “firm with the fatherland” was ridiculed by some given his triple nationality and promise of allegiance to the United States (which he confirmed would run Colombia’s foreign policy).  His stress on law and order was also ridiculed given his history of successfully defending some of Colombia’s most notorious criminals.  In that regard, Mr. de la Espriella’s claim that “ethics has no place in the practice of law” was illustrative of his pragmatism.  While Mr. de la Espriella had absolutely no government experience, he turned that into a positive, claiming to run as an outsider despite the fact that he was supported by all of the traditional political parties, although he refused to officially acknowledge their endorsements.

6.         Allegations of Foreign Interference

Mr. de la Espriella’s had numerous foreign allies who were active in the electoral campaign.  In addition to President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, they included Argentina’s Javier Milei, Honduras’s Nasry Asfura, El Salvador’s Nayib Bukele, Costa Rica’s Laura Fernandez Delgado, Ecuador’s Daniel Noboa, Chile’s José Antonio Kast, Bolivia’s Rodrigo Paz Pereira, Paraguay’s Santiago Peña and even Peru’s recently elected Keiko Fujimori.  All of them are supporters of both President Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu.  Mr. Trump has directly claimed responsibility for Mr. de la Espriella’s victory claiming that it was his endorsement that did the trick.  Others, including outgoing President Petro, suspect Israel was even more important to the de la Espriella campaign.

Ecuadorian president Daniel Noboa endorsed Mr. de la Espriella’s presidential campaign saying that if de la Espriella were elected, the Ecuadorian government would eliminate recently placed tariffs on Colombian products (which many suspect had been placed in the first place in order to assist Mr. de la Espriella’s political campaign). In addition, Mr. de la Espriella received public endorsements from Chilean president José Antonio Kast and Argentine president Javier Milei. In mid-June 2026, the Colombian Ministry of Foreign Affairs criticized statements made by Milei in support of Mr. de la Espriella’s candidacy, citing them as political interference and a violation of the Charter of the Organization of American States. United States President Donald Trump also endorsed Mr. de la Espriella in a series of Truth Social posts accusing his opponent Iván Cepeda of being a “radical left-wing Marxist” and noting that Mr. de la Espriella could improve relations between Colombia and the United States which were subject to several diplomatic confrontations between Mr. Trump and outgoing president Gustavo Petro. Nate Morris, President Trump’s nominee to be Ambassador to Colombia, commented that he looked forward to working with Mr. de la Espriella to advance Mr. Trump’s agenda in Colombia.

7.         The Israeli Factor

Mr. de la Espriella has consistently voiced support for Israel and campaigned in Colombia’s Jewish community, making pro-Israel promises and saying his government would “defend Judeo-Christian principles”.  Indeed, during December of 2025 he met with Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar for two hours in Argentina and has apparently held a number of telephone conferences with important Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  Foreign Minister Sa’ar has officially extended an open invitation for Mr. de la Espriella to visit Israel where formal state meetings with Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Isaac Herzog are expected to take place in Jerusalem in the near future.  Mr. de la Espriella pledged to reverse Petro’s 2024 decision to cut ties with Israel and promised to relocate the Colombian embassy to Jerusalem.  Following Mr. de la Espriella’s victory Mr. Netanyahu publicly congratulated him on social media, stating that “friends of Israel keep winning” adding “I look forward to working with you to strengthen the bond between Israel and Colombia.”  As a consequence of the foregoing, Many Colombian progressives are sure that Israeli technology was responsible for Mr. de la Espriella’s victory with rationales ranging from the purchase, design and implementation of his social media strategy and the use of virtual accounts to direct alteration of electoral results on electoral data gathering computer systems, especially given the strained relationship between Thomas Greg & Sons and the Petro administration over cancellation of the contract to control the Colombian passport system. 

President Petro alleges that foreign actors, probably Israeli, accessed the National Registry’s website and rewrote voting data on some E-14 forms, having stated: “Today we have evidence of a change in IP addresses of several servers of the national registry”.  Thomas Greg & Sons, the influential private logistics and security printing firm that runs Colombia’s electoral infrastructure over Mr. Petro’s opposition is owned by Fernando and Camilo Bautista Palacio, both of whom were convicted of bank fraud in the US in the 1980s.  In April Mr. Petro accused the Bautista brothers of negotiating a deal with de la Espriella that would see them secure the presidency for the far-right candidate in return for recovering their prior passport printing monopoly.

Petro has alleged without substantial proof that the E-14 forms used for vote tabulation were altered by removal of the historical individual identification tracking stamp, a dramatic change implemented over Mr. Petro’s objections by the head of the National Civil Registry, Hernan Penagos Giraldo, a former senator and member of the Partido de la U (Social Party of National Unity) founded by former president Alvaro Uribe, a political party that endorsed Mr. de la Espriella.  Mr. Petro has alleged since well before the elections that algorithms were modified affecting tabulation software provided and administered by Thomas Greg & Sons permitting alterations after data entry thus permitting counting of altered E-14 forms, and notes that census eligibility data was also modified to include a large number of “new” people after the census cutoff date.  Ironically, his allegations mirror those made by Mr. Trump with respect to his own presidential campaign in 2020.

As additional evidence of possible Israeli cyber intervention in the elections, Colombian progressives point to Mr. de la Espriella’s two hour meeting with Israel’s foreign minister during December of 2025 and also to the apparent advance information concerning the electoral results on electoral betting websites which all heavily favored a victory by Mr. de la Espriella (as they had with respect to right wing candidates in earlier elections in Argentina, Honduras, El Salvador, Costa Rica, Ecuador, Bolivia, Chile, Paraguay and most recently Peru).  Electoral betting websites—often referred to as prediction markets—are owned by privately held technology and financial firms rather than traditional casinos. The major platforms include:

  • Polymarket, owned and majority-controlled by its founder and CEO, Shayne Coplan.  Its markets on Israeli military actions have been marred by controversy regarding users acting on classified intelligence.  There is a belief in certain Colombian circles that Polymarket’s markets certainty of a victory by de la Espriella was based on inside knowledge of Israeli impact on the election, both through funding and possible cyberwarfare.
  • Kalshi, founded and owned by Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara both of whom are Israeli supporters and have been accused of being tied to the Mossad.
  • PredictIt, operated as a non-profit project, is owned and managed by Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand.  PredictIt traders historically demonstrated acute attention to Israeli political news. For instance, in 2019, when major English-language news outlets incorrectly reported that Netanyahu had been indicted, PredictIt users hired professional translators to analyze original Hebrew documents to correctly resolve their trading contracts before the media corrected the error.

8.         Refusal to Investigate Allegations of Fraud

As was the case in the United States with respect to allegations of fraud during the 2020 federal elections, responsible authorities in Colombia, primarily the National Registry, the National Electoral Council and the offices of the procurator and the attorney general, have declined to investigate Mr. Petro’s allegations on technical grounds citing a lack of evidence and comfort with existing processes, procedures, software, etc., and insist the elections were free of material issues, a posture largely supported by foreign observers and the Colombian legacy media and seemingly confirmed through the official process of electoral scrutiny conducted by approximately one million Colombian jurists, bureaucrats  and citizens.

Internal Colombian Problems with Fraud

Fraud is, according to some (including defeated presidential candidates Claudia Lopez and Paloma Valencia), Colombia’s most distressing problem, a position Claudia Lopez and Paloma Valencia once, despite their stark political differences, jointly espoused and vowed to combat during their joint participation in a political forum at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales denominated Hornadas de Ciencia Política and hosted by the author of this article.  Corruption seemingly riddles the Colombian judiciary and bureaucracy at all levels with efforts to combat it quickly being converted into means to facilitate it.  Indeed, as indicated above, Thomas Greg & Sons, the influential private logistics and security printing firm that runs Colombia’s electoral infrastructure, is owned by Fernando and Camilo Bautista Palacio, both convicted of bank fraud in the US in the 1980s.

Such corruption not only has serious economic consequences but has led to a loss of confidence in the political, economic and electoral system by the Colombian people, a factor which lends credibility to claims of electoral fraud, whether or not accurate.  Mr. Petro’s failure to deal with corruption, which was present in his own administration, was perhaps the biggest failure of his administration.  Mr. de la Espriella has vowed to conquer the problem but is surrounded by people, both Colombian and foreign, tainted by allegations and even convictions for corruption, some of whom have been his legal clients.  As in most of the world, corruption seems a societal cancer impossible to eradicate.

Geopolitical Considerations

The election has important geopolitical considerations given Colombia’s vast natural resources and biodiversity as well as its strategic location with maritime access to the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans and the Caribbean as well as a pool of former military personnel (from both the state and insurgencies) that more and more frequently are hiring themselves out as mercenaries in regional conflicts ranging from the Ukraine to Africa and the Middle East, frequently in coordination with the United States Central Intelligence Agency and the Israeli Mossad.  During the past few administration, the People’s Republic of China has made many economic and commercial inroads into Latin America and the election of Mr. de la Espriella serves United States interests in rolling them back, as well as Israeli interests in attempting to attain an important economic and political role in Latin America, as it has done in the United States and Europe; especially important as Zionism has become increasingly unpopular among the public in the United States and Europe, albeit not among elitist government leaders there and Israel works to cultivate support elsewhere.

As for Colombia, its experiments with independence and a world leadership role in civic affairs would seem at least suspended and Latin American efforts at independent consolidation, for example, through UNASUR and the Inter-American Human Rights system, have suffered a significant setback.  So, while the United States and Israel seem the real winners in the 2026 Colombian presidential elections, it was not only Colombia’s progressive aspirations that were defeated but Chinese aspirations as well.

Conclusions

While Israel may be losing influence among the United Sates electorate, that is certainly not the case with new governments in Latin America where Israel is seeking to challenge China and even the United States for influence and economic opportunities, that despite deep opposition among the Latin American public to Israeli genocide and ethnic cleansing throughout the Middle East.  To Israel, it’s the leaders that matter and they have apparently been politically and economically seduced throughout the Northern and Pacific rims of Latin America, at least for the foreseeable future.

Mr. de la Espriella’s victory seemingly marks a remarkable return to power for backers of Colombia’s right wing paramilitary forces, the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia, or AUC) whose death squads have been accused of having undertaken a genocide in Colombia’s countryside to protect the interests of cattle barons and drug traffickers while battling left wing guerrilla movements including the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (the FARC) and the National Liberation Army (ELN).  Colombia’s experiment with social justice, equity, equality, environmental responsibility and negotiated peace will be suspended for the foreseeable future and in all likelihood, largely reversed.  Mr. de la Espriella has, like Mr. Trump, endorsed fracking and pumping of oil galore, “gutting the political left wing”, death to insurgents and drug traffickers (although as a lawyer he has defended both) and lower taxes for the wealthy, but all to be done with pizzazz and filled with nationalist semiology, although subservient to United States direction and goals.  Whether given Colombia’s complex constitutional structure, with multiple versions of supreme tribunals and a dysfunctional administrative system designed to minimize corruption but which instead, facilitate it and Mr. de la Espriella’s political debts to diverse traditionalist political parties who control the Congress and the judiciary he can keep any of his Trump-like promises, such as an end to insurgencies and narcotics trafficking in 90 days, Mr. de la Espriella can do a better job of keeping his campaign promises than Mr. Trump has dome will be interesting to observe.  He has been specific on goals but vague on methods, not unusual in politics anywhere.

The election is also a victory for former president Alvaro Uribe Velez whose trials for corruption and human rights violations are likely to be ended, through a presidential pardon, if necessary.

One interesting question up-in-the-air is who will lead the opposition to de la Espriella’s government on behalf of the Pacto Histórico?  I don’t think it will be Ivan Mr. Cepeda.  It may be Gustavo Petro, as occurred with prior ex-presidents Cesar Gaviria and Alvaro Uribe Velez, but that does not seem a sure thing.  Perhaps not even likely.  Diana Carolina Corcho Mejía, a primary opponent of Mr. Cepeda for the presidential nomination, was elected to the Senate at the top of the list for the Pacto Histórico and might be the best bet.  She is an attractive, charismatic and well educated woman with degrees in medicine, psychiatry and political science and with government experience as a minister in the health sector.  Or, perhaps it will be a leaderless opposition, with different factions all contesting the role and Mr. de la Espriella laughing as he consolidates a potentially dictatorial regime given his control of the executive and probably, the Congress, the bureaucracy, the National Electoral Council, the Civil Registry and the judiciary as well.

Colombia right now faces a very nebulous and very polarized future but then again, so does most of Latin America, and so does the United States, and so does Europe, and so does the Middle East, etc., etc., etc.

_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.  Research for this article was originally undertaken in conjunction with a proposed interview of the author by Ruby Barlow of NewsX World (India), one however marred by connection problems.  Some of the statistical information concerning the electoral results was obtained from the website operated by the Colombian Government’s Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil (Civil Registry).  This article was first published on Academia.edu.

Caveat: The author, while he has been critical of President Petro’s implementation of policies and pugnacious reaction to criticism is personally a democratic socialist and supportive of the political and economic reforms proposed by the Petro administration and has, on several occasions prior to Mr. Petro’s presidency, personally met and interacted with Mr. Petro. The foregoing article should be interpreted with this caveat in mind although the author believes the foregoing does not impact his objectivity as a political analyst.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.

Biographical Details for Abelardo Gabriel de la Espriella Otero

Abelardo Gabriel de la Espriella Otero (born on July 31, 1978) is a Colombian entertainer, lawyer, businessman and politician born in Bogotá although he grew up in Montería, Córdoba.  During his early years, de la Espriella associated socially with the decade older paramilitary leader Salvatore Mancuso, a member of social circles frequented by the de la Espriella family.  He performed in his high school’s theater group and later worked for a popular local radio station, La Voz de Montería. His father was a lawyer who served as a magistrate in the Administrative Tribunal of Córdoba and was a candidate for governor of Córdoba during the 1997 Colombian regional and municipal elections.  He is also a close friend of Álvaro Uribe Velez who was president of Colombia from 2002 to 2010.

Mr. de la Espriella studied law, first at the Universidad Sergio Arboleda but received his degree from the Universidad Del Rosario and in 2012 a master’s degree in law from the Universidad Nebrija founded in 1995 and based in Madrid, Spain.  He specializes in administrative and criminal law and became a prominent public figure through his defense of high-profile clients, including several accused of ties to right-wing paramilitary groups with whose leaders his family was seemingly socially associated.

Mr. de la Espriella evolved into a flamboyant multimillionaire relatively quickly by defending controversial people, including some accused of trafficking in narcotics, of engaging in paramilitary death squads and in sexual assaults.  Reminiscent of proclivities of United States president Donald J. Trump, Mr. de la Espriella has also started a number of relatively small and not yet successful businesses including: male fashion design, male cosmetics, alcoholic beverages (mainly involving wine and rum) which, from time to time, have generate inexplicable profits.  He has toyed with a singing career with styles ranging from Latin vallenato to opera, where he considers himself a tenor.  After living in Miami for over a decade, he received United States citizenship in 2023, after which, he moved to Italy for several years and acquired Italian citizenship.  He currently owns expensive properties in the United States, Italy and Colombia in which he and his family live intermittently.

As an attorney, he defended political figures accused of having allied themselves with paramilitaries, some of whom had been close to him since childhood and others such as former congresswoman Eleonora Pineda, a friend of his mother and Dieb Maloof and Rocío Arias.  In 2012, de la Espriella represented Dania Londoño Suárez, a Colombian woman linked to the United States Secret Service prostitution scandal in Cartagena and, according to an Associated Press report, he confirmed that his client had reached a pre-agreement with Playboy magazine and negotiated an interview with the American television network ABC. He stated that as a result of those agreements she would not grant interviews to other news outlets and declined to disclose the financial terms involved.

From 2013 to 2019, Mr. de la Espriella served as legal counsel to Alex Saab, a notorious Colombian businessman later indicted in the United States on charges including money laundering and alleged operation as a financial agent for the Venezuelan government of Nicolás Maduro. Mr. Saab has publicly described Mr. de la Espriella as a close associate and legal advisor.  In May of 2014, Venezuelan political strategist Juan José Rendón was reported to be scheduled to give a statement at the Colombian Consulate in Miami in connection with an investigation and, as reported in La Prensa, he was to be accompanied by attorney Abelardo de la Espriella.  In 2015, Mr. de la Espriella served as the attorney for Pastor Álvaro Gámez of Pasto in conjunction with defense of allegations of sexual abuse. Seven women filed public complaints questioning de la Espriella’s involvement in defending sexual predators alleging that he had unethically discredited their testimonies and evidence in court.

In 2005, Mr. de la Espriella founded the Foundation for Peace Initiatives (FIPAZ), an organization that promoted a referendum to recognize the political rights of all armed actors in the Colombian conflicts and to amend the Constitution to prohibit the extradition of Colombians.  In conjunction with the foregoing, Mr. de la Espriella served as an advisor to the right wing paramilitary death squad movement, the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia.  The foundation organized university forums in which Iván Roberto Duque, alias “Ernesto Báez”, a former commander of the Central Bolívar Bloc of the United Self-Defense Forces of Colombia (AUC) took part and at which paramilitary leader Salvatore Mancuso was present and photographed alongside Mr. de la Espriella. In 2008, Mr. Báez stated that “the armed organization sought out students through Abelardo de la Espriella as a dissemination channel to justify the war undertaken by the paramilitary organization”.  In a 2011 ruling against former congressman Juan Pablo Sánchez, Colombia’s Supreme Court found that FIPAZ “did not promote peace when the self-defense groups were massacring, disappearing, killing, and torturing, but rather when they sought to project themselves politically through university students” and ordered that copies of its decision be forwarded to the Colombian Ministry of Justice so that Mr. de la Espriella could be investigated. However, the Office of the Attorney General, under the leadership of Mario Iguarán, a close friend of Mr. de la Espriella, had closed the investigation against Mr. de la Espriella for conspiracy to commit crimes and money laundering in 2009.

In 2026, the Inter American Press Association and the Colombian Foundation for Press Freedom raised concerns about potential judicial harassment of media sources by Mr. de la Espriella when, in response to a column discussing his ties to Mr. Saab, he announced possible legal actions against the author. Between 2008 and 2019, he reportedly filed 109 defamation and slander cases, many of which were dismissed. The Foundation for Press Freedom has described these cases as examples of judicial harassment.

In May of 2026, Mr. de la Espriella became embroiled in controversy after showing explicit photos outlining his clothed genitals to a female journalist as part of an interview with Piso 8 FM, which various media outlets characterized as sexist and sexual harassment. The incident sparked outrage among women’s rights groups and led to a court order requiring de la Espriella to publicly apologize to the journalist.

In the run-up to the 2026 presidential election, the political website La Silla Vacía noted that”, in order to set himself apart from the conservative candidate, Paloma Valencia, “everything in his [Mr. de la Espriella’s] campaign revolves around the idea of the ‘alpha male’ as an unquestionable sign of his ability to govern”.  His rallies have featured figures from across the political right in Latin America including military veteran leaders and evangelical preachers. Ecuadorian president Daniel Noboa endorsed his presidential campaign saying that if de la Espriella were elected, the Ecuadorian government would eliminate recently placed tariffs on Colombian products which many suspect had been placed in order to assist Mr. de la Espriella’s political campaign. In addition, Mr. de la Espriella received public endorsements from Chilean president José Antonio Kast and Argentine president Javier Milei. In mid-June 2026, the Colombian Ministry of Foreign Affairs criticized statements made by Milei in support of Mr. de la Espriella’s candidacy, citing them as political interference and a violation of the Charter of the Organization of American States. United States President Donald Trump also endorsed Mr. de la Espriella in a series of Truth Social posts accusing his opponent Iván Cepeda of being a “radical left-wing Marxist” and noting that Mr. de la Espriella could improve relations between Colombia and the United States which were subject to several diplomatic confrontations between Mr. Trump and outgoing president Gustavo Petro. Nate Morris, President Trump’s nominee to be Ambassador to Colombia, commented that he looked forward to working with Mr. de la Espriella to advance Mr. Trump’s agenda in Colombia.

Mr. de la Espriella has been widely described as right-wing or far-right, even of having fascist tendencies.  He supports the right to bear arms, withdrawing Colombia from international organizations such as the Inter-American Court of Human Rights and the United Nations. He has said he would authorize police to shoot at protesters they deem to be violent and has also threatened to kill suspects of drug trafficking by downing planes and shooting boats, something which has been “widely denounced as a form of extrajudicial killing, effectively denying suspects the chance of defending themselves in a court of law”.  He has also asserted that he would “gut” his left wing political opponents if elected.

Mr. de la Espriella supports implementing a security system similar to the one put in place by President Nayib Bukele in El Salvador proposing, for example, the creation of ten private, for profit mega-prisons across Colombia. Mr. de la Espriella has also expressed staunch support for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. In an August 2025 interview, when questioned about the military offensive in Gaza he stated that “the State of Israel and Prime Minister Netanyahu were doing what they have to do to defend their people” adding that he would take similar hardline measures to defend Colombia against terrorism, stating that he would not “kneel before terrorism.” These statements drew severe backlash from opposition figures and human rights commentators who condemned his rhetoric as an explicit justification of the mass casualties and destruction in the Gaza Strip.  During December of 2025 he met with Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa’ar for two hours in Argentina and has apparently held a number of telephone conferences with important Israeli leaders, including Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.  Foreign Minister Sa’ar has officially extended an open invitation for Mr. de la Espriella to visit Israel where formal state meetings with Prime Minister Netanyahu and President Isaac Herzog are expected to take place in the near future.  Mr. de la Espriella has pledged to reverse President Petro’s 2024 decision to cut ties with Israel and has promised to relocate the Colombian embassy to Jerusalem.  Following his victory in the June 2026 presidential election, Netanyahu publicly congratulated de la Espriella on social media, noting that “friends of Israel keep winning.”

Mr. de la Espriella is supportive of large scale reductions of government expenditures and consolidation of government ministries in order to reduce taxes. He supports the bombing of alleged “narco-terrorist camps” and fumigation of coca plantations with the help of United States aircraft in addition to ending the peace processes with Colombian armed groups.  He is an admirer of United States President Donald Trump and has said that he wants to subordinate Colombia’s foreign policy to that of the United States. He welcomed the United States attack against Venezuela in January of 2026 and has repeatedly stated that any future diplomatic relationship with Venezuela would be channeled through the United States Department of State.  He has announced his intention to join President Trump’s Shield of the Americas and publicly stated that he not only supports regime change in Cuba following the 2026 Cuban crisis but supports that country’s annexation by the United States as a territory in free association similar in status to Puerto Rico. He is against abortion and same-sex adoption, stating that his positions are intended to prioritize “traditional Judeo-Christian principles and values”. He has espoused views often connected to transphobia, alleging that schools are trying to indoctrinate children with “gender ideology”. Mr. de la Espriella has further made clear his intention to limit the power and influence of FECODE, the country’s main teachers’ union, as well as to propose reforms to the education system to include a more active approach to teaching traditional religious values.

Mr. de la Espriella was formerly an aggressive atheist but recently converted to Catholicism and “raises the conservative banners of several supporting Christian churches”. In fact, Colombian evangelicals are among his most fervent supporters. 

He is married to Ana Lucía Pineda and has four children.

Biographical Details for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro was born in Bogotá in 1962 into a leftwing political family, the eldest son of Manuel Cepeda Vargas, then leader of the Colombian Communist Party and Yira Castro. In 1965 at the age of 3, Mr. Cepeda and his family were forced into exile by violent right wing political forces and during his early years he lived in Prague.  Following the Warsaw Pact invasion of Czechoslovakia in 1968, his family sought refuge in Havana, Cuba. They returned to Colombia in 1970 but remained a target of political violence. At the age of 13, Mr. Cepeda joined the Communist Youth and at 19, he moved to Bulgaria to study at Sofia University where he earned a bachelor’s degree in philosophy.

Mr. Cepeda’s time in the Eastern Bloc was a period of ideological transition.  He returned to Colombia in 1987 as a critic of the Soviet model which he considered authoritarian, advocating instead for a democratic and pluralistic left-wing approach associated more with democratic socialism such as that espoused by Albert Einstein, Nelson Mandela, martin Luther King, Jr., Noam Chomsky, Zohran Mamdani, etc.  Ironic given right wing claims that label him a communist.  In Colombia, Mr. Cepeda became involved in the presidential campaign of Bernardo Jaramillo Oss who was assassinated in 1990. That same year, Mr. Cepeda joined the M-19 Democratic Alliance, a political party formed after the former urban guerilla group organized after the stolen presidential election of 1970 signed a peace treaty with the Colombian state and disarmed. On August 9, 1994, his father, then a Colombian Senator, was assassinated in Bogotá in an operation orchestrated state agents and right wing paramilitary groups such as those with which Abelardo de la Espriella’s parents were indirectly involved.

Following his father’s assassination, Mr. Cepeda created the Manuel Cepeda Vargas Foundation with his then-wife, Claudia Girón, to assist in identifying the perpetrators. In 2003 Mr. Cepeda and others founded the National Movement for Victims of State Crimes made up of 17 organizations that sought justice for victims of crimes that occurred during the armed conflicts of the 1980s and 1990s. This led to increased threats of violence against Mr. Cepeda again leading him in into exile in 2000, this time in France. He returned to Colombia in 2003 to resume his work advocating for victims of state and paramilitary violence.  Mr. Cepeda has worked to promote the historic memory of members of the Patriotic Union, a left wing Colombian political party formed by former members of the M-19 political insurgency, who were assassinated by persons associated with the Colombian state and who were regarded by institutions such as the National Center for Historical Memory as victims of a political genocide. During the presidency of Gustavo Petro, he served as a peace talk intermediator with leaders of Marxist–Leninist guerrilla groups such as factions of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) who refused to accept the peace accords negotiated during the government of Juan Manuel Santos, and the National Liberation Army (ELN).

Mr. Cepeda entered electoral politics in 2009 as a member of the Polo Democrático Alternativo political party, really an alliance of leftist political parties and movements, winning a seat in the House of Representatives, representing the capital, Bogotá, and focused on investigating right wing paramilitary influence in Colombian politics; something that made him an enemy of the Colombian president at the time, Alvaro Uribe Velez, suspected of being, along with his brother, one of the organizers of the Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia (United Auto-Defense Forces of Colombia; AUC). 

Mr. Cepeda was elected to the Senate in 2014 and re-elected in 2018 and 2022.  In 2025 Mr. Cepeda emerged as the principal successor to President Gustavo Petro within the left-wing Pacto Histórico coalition. In October of 2025 he won the party’s primary election with 65% of the vote, defeating former health minister Diana Carolina Corcho Mejía.  In March of 2026, Mr. Cepeda officially registered his candidacy for the May 31, 2026 general election, selecting indigenous leader and fellow Senator Aida Marina Quilcué Vivas as his vice-presidential running mate.  His campaign focused on the continuation of the Petro administration’s Total Peace policy, agrarian reform, and the protection of judicial independence. Mr. Cepeda followed a line of continuity in terms of human rights and the fight against climate change. He supported reducing Colombia’s dependence on fossil fuels, while also expressing support for continuing the outgoing president’s policy of steering the country toward renewable energy and away from any new oil and gas development. He also opposed “the establishment of new foreign military bases in Latin America,” while supporting “multilateralism” and “non-membership in military alliances such as NATO.”

On economic issues, he has always aimed for better wealth redistribution in order to reduce the country’s socio-economic disparities. That would have involved progressive taxation, i.e., higher taxes on large fortunes, and especially on the profits of major corporations. The revenue generated would have been used to fund social programs and help improve infrastructure and public services. Mr. Cepeda proposed the creation of a “People’s Bank”, to which the most vulnerable households could turn to for microloans enabling them to develop their economic activities. He supported reforms carried out by Gustavo Petro such as the substantial increase in the minimum wage, pension reform, and the expansion of agrarian reform which returned one million hectares of land to victims of the armed conflict.

Mr. Cepeda has been plaintiff in a high-profile legal dispute with former President Álvaro Uribe which has increased the antagonism against him across the right wing of the political spectrum which adulates Mr. Uribe. The case began in 2012 when Mr. Cepeda presented testimony to the Congress alleging that then senator and former president Uribe’s had been involved in the creation of paramilitary groups. Mr. Uribe initially sued Mr. Cepeda for defamation but the Supreme Court of Colombia dismissed the charges in 2018 and instead opened an investigation into Mr. Uribe for witness tampering and bribery. This led to Mr. Uribe’s conviction and house arrest in 2020 and then. To Mr. Uribe’s resignation from the Senate in order to shift the jurisdiction of the case from the Congress to the ordinary legal system. In July of 2025, a criminal court convicted Mr. Uribe of bribery and procedural fraud, sentencing him to 12 years of house arrest, however, the conviction was overturned in October of 2025 by the Uribe-friendly Superior Tribunal of Bogotá which cited procedural flaws in wiretap evidence and acquitted the former president. Subsequently, Mr. Cepeda’s legal team announced the filing of an extraordinary appeal (casación) before the Supreme Court that has yet to be resolved.

Mr. Cepeda is currently married to attorney Pilar Rueda and was previously married to Claudia Girón.

Reflexiones sobre el progresismo colombiano en el amanecer después del solsticio de verano, 2026

No obstante la gran probabilidad (para mí, realidad) de que intervención extranjera por parte de los EE.UU., Israel y sus colonias latinoamericanas (Argentina, Bolivia, Ecuador, Paraguay, etc.) impactó nuestra elección presidencial en forma importante, la realidad es que el progresismo colombiano, en temas electorales cometió grandes errores durante los últimos cuatro años y no con respecto a las políticas que se propusieron como grandes reformas en el Congreso sino en la manera que se buscó implementarlas, y en las relaciones públicas.  Aún más, peleamos entre nosotros a todo nivel en forma constante y publica y es más fácil organizar gatos que organizarnos a nosotros.  Decisiones importantes sobre candidaturas no se hicieron en forma estratégica sino en forma exageradamente idealista e ideológica ignorando la meritocracia y la percepción pública.  Escoger una mujer noble pero sin experiencia como vicepresidente fue un error mortal.  Y escoger a Iván cepeda como nuestro candidato presidencial sin considerar su impacto unificador con respecto a la derecha, en vez de alguien como Clara López, fue otro.

Si en los escrutinios triunfa de la Espriella, lo cual es probable dado el control sobre la judicatura, el Consejo Nacional Electoral, la Registraduría y la Procuraduría  por la derecha, entonces es probable que la derecha gobernara no por cuatro sino por lo menos por ocho años, teniendo un vicepresidente muy preparado y ambicioso listo para las contiendas del 2028.  Tenemos que mirarnos en un espejo real y pensar bien cómo vamos a seguir.  ¿Existe una figura capaz de liderar una oposición efectiva en el Congreso durante los proximo cuatro años cuando somos minoría aunque con el partido más grande?  ¿Existe alguien con el carisma, la sabiduría y la experiencia para ser serio candidato presidencial serio en el 2028? 

Lamentablemente no lo veo.  Lo que veo es que como en Argentina, volveremos a ser colonia no solo de los EE.UU., pero de Israel, con sionistas comprando valiosas partes de nuestro país.  Y la culpa es nuestra por haber desperdiciado una oportunidad casa única.  Quizas, algún día tendremos otra oportunidad de crear un país progresista justo, equitativo, económicamente y ambientalmente sostenible, meritocratico y en paz pero, por ahora, solo nos queda aprender como funcionar en forma unida sin peleas internas constantes y como triunfar sin dividirnos y sin ser soberbios con respecto a nuestro éxito.

Ojala el señor Abelardo de la Espriella no sea quien parece ser y que su lealtad sea hacia Colombia pero muy posiblemente volvió la horrible noche que por tantos años ha oscurecido la tierra más bella de mundo.

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© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; todos derechos reservados.  Permiso para compartir con atribución.

Guillermo Calvo Mahé es escritor, comentarista, analista político y académico residente en la República de Colombia. Aspira ser poeta y filósofo empírico y a veces se lo cree.  Hasta el 2017 coordinaba los programas de Ciencia Política, Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales de la Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. En la actualidad, participa en entrevistas radiales y televisadas, foros, seminarios y congresos cívicos y edita y publica la revista virtual, The Inannite Review disponible en Substack.com/.  Tiene títulos académicos en ciencias políticas (del Citadel, la universidad militar de la Carolina del Sur), derecho (de la St. John’s University en la ciudad de Nueva York), estudios jurídicos internacionales (de la facultad posgrado de derecho de la New York University) y estudios posgrado de lingüística y traducción (del Centro de Estudios Latinoamericanos de la Universidad de la Florida).  Sin embargo, también es fascinado por la mitología, la religión, la física, la astronomía y las matemáticas, especialmente en lo relacionado con lo cuántico y la cosmogonía.  Puede ser contactado en guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com y gran parte de su escritura está disponible a través de su blog en https://guillermocalvo.com/.

A Reflection on D Day, Eighty-Two Years Later

June 6, 2026

Today’s anniversary of the invasion of Normandy on June 6, 1944, primarily by United States and British troops is a bitter day for me because the things we were taught our ancestors fought for and that so many died to attain seem to have been illusory, mere propaganda.  “Never again” has become, “Look away and move on, nothing here to see”.  Genocide and ethnic cleansing have become, if not acceptable, at least easy to ignore while lawyers quibble of their meaning.

Those who died and were maimed and fought on that day expected better from us but we’ve let them down, we’ve let them down completely, and that’s a travesty not worthy of celebration.

Democracy is and perhaps has always been at best dysfunctional, everywhere.  And the United States now has its own Führer, an uber-leader who can do no wrong in the eyes of his followers.  And European countries have coalesced into a sort of Fascist Italy, each country ignoring the will of the vast majority of its population under weak, corrupt and inept leaders, all (perhaps with the exception of Russia and Spain) terrified to abide by the purported signature accomplishment of the Second World War, the decisions of the Nuremburg tribunals and the Charter of the United Nations, lest the Zionist media and financiers (rather than Nazis) destroy them, one by one. 

An image of the see-no-evil-hear-no-evil-criticize-no evil simian caricature comes to mind (my apologies to simians everywhere). 

So many lives lost on and after June 6, 1944, so many promises made and never kept.

That’s what I’ll remember today, a day of mourning rather than celebration.
_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.

Reflexiones sobre un desastre inminente

Acabo de pasar un rato charlando con un colega mío.  Fue mi colega durante el tiempo que yo ejercía como docente universitario en Manizales.  Trabajábamos en el mismo departamento y ambos coordinamos, en diferentes tiempos, el mismo programa.  Él es un excelente y muy admirado profesor, un hombre inteligente, destacado y muy bien educado (con doctorado), y él es un hombre honrado.  Un hombre bueno.  Durante nuestra charla él me hizo saber que detesta a Gustavo Petro y, entre otras cosas que me sorprendieron, que él ahora entiende y comparte la postura del sionismo en Palestina.  Eso me decepcionó muchísimo pero él es alguien que respeto y admiro mucho y, entonces, me debo preguntar, ¿cómo llegó a pensar así? 

Entiendo que por Iván Cepeda probablemente mi apreciado y admirado amigo no votara y que por Abelardo de la Espriella, aunque lo considera vulgar, … pues no sé.  Creo que en eso el comportamiento de la Colombia Humana y del Pacto Histórico tuvo impacto pero también el comportamiento de nuestro presidente.  Ambos partidos, ya unificados, han sido incoherentes con duras peleas internas, peleas groseras compartidas públicamente, y eso ha costado muchos votos.  Por ejemplo, la incoherencia, en plena campaña electoral, de buscar una pelea con la Alianza Verde y con Santiago Osorio Marín me fue incomprensible, a no ser que fue sabotaje intencional.  Por cosas como esas, parte del pueblo colombiano no confía que desde la izquierda se pueda gobernar.  Quizás no votaron por De la Espriella o por Paloma Valencia, quizás votaron por Claudia López o por Sergio Fajardo o por Mauricio Lizcano, quien sabe.  Pero no tenemos su confianza.  Ni, dado nuestro comportamiento, la merecemos.  Y, por eso, hay seria posibilidad que un fascismo verdadero gobernará nuestra patria por los próximos cuatro años, y del fascismo no es fácil liberar un país.

En lo personal, conozco y quiero mucho a Gustavo Petro pero sus constantes peleas en nada nos ayudan.  Y, sus enemigos, nuestros opositores, sabiendo eso, buscan atormentarlo en forma constante para que reaccione en forma exagerada.  Y así demasiadas veces lo hace.  Y eso nos cuesta mucho y, más importante, le cuesta mucho a Colombia.  En especial porque, aunque Iván Cepeda en eso es muy diferente, los medios de comunicación y la derecha política lo tratan como si fuera una copia idéntica del presidente Petro.

¿Entonces, qué hacer? 

Desesperarnos y rendirnos en nada nos servirá.  No nos servirá ni a nosotros ni a nuestras familias ni al pueblo colombiano que tanto amamos.  Creo que, uno por uno, tenemos que admitir que no somos perfectos y que acertadamente, colectivamente no fuimos perfectos durante los últimos tres años y medio.  Que, aunque creemos profundamente en las políticas de la administración de Gustavo Petro, del “Gobierno del Cambio”, tenemos que admitir que no fueron ni implementadas ni defendidas en forma adecuada.  Pero también, debemos acertar que de nuestros errores hemos aprendido.  Que reconocemos que la humildad es una virtud y que la arrogancia, aunque sea merecida, de nada positivo sirve.  Y desde esa postura, debemos defender las políticas del petrismo, las diversas reformas que tan necesarias son.  Y que solo Iván Cepeda luchara para implementarlas mientras que el Señor de la Espriella las acabara.

Defendiendo sin reservas al presidente que tanto queremos, pero quien es lejos de ser perfecto, nos cuesta, no nos suma votos.  Y sumar votos es esencial.

_______

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; todos derechos reservados.  Permiso para compartir con atribución.

Guillermo Calvo Mahé es escritor, comentarista, analista político y académico residente en la República de Colombia. Aspira ser poeta y filósofo empírico y a veces se lo cree.  Hasta el 2017 coordinaba los programas de Ciencia Política, Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales de la Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. En la actualidad, participa en entrevistas radiales y televisadas, foros, seminarios y congresos cívicos y edita y publica la revista virtual, The Inannite Review disponible en Substack.com/.  Tiene títulos académicos en ciencias políticas (del Citadel, la universidad militar de la Carolina del Sur), derecho (de la St. John’s University en la ciudad de Nueva York), estudios jurídicos internacionales (de la facultad posgrado de derecho de la New York University) y estudios posgrado de lingüística y traducción (del Centro de Estudios Latinoamericanos de la Universidad de la Florida).  Sin embargo, también es fascinado por la mitología, la religión, la física, la astronomía y las matemáticas, especialmente en lo relacionado con lo cuántico y la cosmogonía.  Puede ser contactado en guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com y gran parte de su escritura está disponible a través de su blog en https://guillermocalvo.com/.

Análisis sobre los resultados de la primera vuelta de elecciones presidenciales en Colombia, 2026

Como era predecible, Colombia va a segunda vuelta con Abelardo de la Espriella e Iván Cepeda y, con el dinero disponible para de la Espriella desde sus propias fuentes y fuentes con origen en países como los EE.UU., Israel, Argentina, etc., tiene buena posibilidad, quizás probabilidad de ganar en segunda vuelta, en especial si hay reconciliación con Paloma Valencia, Álvaro Uribe y el Centro Democrático. 

Paloma Valencia cometió muchos errores y le costó.  Más que todo en su decisión sobre su fórmula vicepresidencial, Juan Daniel Oviedo Arango, quien, por ser gay, le restó muchos más votos de los que le agregó.  Los votos que le resto se fueron con de la Espriella y los votos que le agrego se los cobro a Iván Cepeda.  Esa es nuestra Colombia.  Ademas, por buscar aproximarse al casi inexistente centro político colombiano, perdió muchos votos de derecha, todos los cuales, con mucho placer, los acepto Abelardo de la Espriella.

En el caso de Iván Cepeda, también creo le costó mucho su selección de formula vicepresidencial, Aida Marina Quilcue Vivas, una mujer noble y admirable, pero comparada con José Manuel Restrepo Abondano, la formula vicepresidencial de Abelardo de La Espriella, sufrió mucho.  José Manuel Restrepo Abondano le sumo mucho a de la Espriella en temas de educación,  trayectoria académica y gubernamental, importantes debilidades de Abelardo de la Espriella.  Y la masiva diferencia en los gastos de dinero hizo el resto.  También, creo que los jóvenes no salieron en forma masiva para apoyar al senador Cepeda como lo hicieron con Gustavo Petro.  Eso siempre ha sido el problema con contar con el apoyo de las generaciones más jóvenes.

Abelardo de la Espriella recaudo y gastó más que el doble las sumas que les eran disponibles a Paloma Valencia e Iván Cepeda y eso, sin contar la masiva cantidad de dinero adicional gastado “indirectamente” por interventores internacionales.  Ese dinero dominó a los medios sociales, en especial TikTok e Instagram.  Los dominó, no solo con apoyadores, sino con “bots”, falsas noticias, espectáculo, etc., manejados con la enorme experiencia y dinero del sionismo.  Y el apoyo casi total por los medios de comunicación que les pertenecían en algunos casos a antiguos clientes, no sobró.

No sé si en segunda vuelta Iván Cepeda se pueda recuperar a no ser que, por el constante y exagerado triunfalismo del liderazgo del Pacto Histórico, muchos de sus adherentes se encontraron perezosos este domingo.  Y ahora se encuentran totalmente despiertos.  Lo dudo.  Entonces, esperemos que la carne de mula, como ahora se come en Argentina, nos guste.  Por suerte, soy más que todo vegetariano.

Pronto veremos.

_______

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; todos derechos reservados.  Permiso para compartir con atribución.

Guillermo Calvo Mahé es escritor, comentarista, analista político y académico residente en la República de Colombia. Aspira ser poeta y filósofo empírico y a veces se lo cree.  Hasta el 2017 coordinaba los programas de Ciencia Política, Gobierno y Relaciones Internacionales de la Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. En la actualidad, participa en entrevistas radiales y televisadas, foros, seminarios y congresos cívicos y edita y publica la revista virtual, The Inannite Review disponible en Substack.com/.  Tiene títulos académicos en ciencias políticas (del Citadel, la universidad militar de la Carolina del Sur), derecho (de la St. John’s University en la ciudad de Nueva York), estudios jurídicos internacionales (de la facultad posgrado de derecho de la New York University) y estudios posgrado de lingüística y traducción (del Centro de Estudios Latinoamericanos de la Universidad de la Florida).  Sin embargo, también es fascinado por la mitología, la religión, la física, la astronomía y las matemáticas, especialmente en lo relacionado con lo cuántico y la cosmogonía.  Puede ser contactado en guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com y gran parte de su escritura está disponible a través de su blog en https://guillermocalvo.com/.

Political Echoes from Southern Climes

On Sunday May 31, 2026, a week from the day on which I write this introspection, Colombians will head to the polls for a presidential election.  In Colombia as in much of the world, the electoral process is less controversial than in the United States, with participatory rights carefully monitored through required identification through official, state issued identification documents.  Also, in Colombia, if a candidate receives more than 50% of the vote, he or she will be the victor, if not, the top two vote recipients will face off in a runoff on the 21st of June.  In Colombian the candidate with less votes never wins, as happens from time to time in the United States, although how votes are counted may impact that observation, as it did with respect to the manipulated, well, perhaps stolen is a more honest term, election that took place in Colombia on the 19th of April in 1970.  However, notwithstanding precautions, as in much of the world the electorate’s confidence in electoral integrity may be at a low point and that because, as in the United States, information manipulation is rampant.

In that regard, the primary election for the selection of a Republican candidate for the House of Representatives from the State of Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District is illustrative as to how massive infusions of cash can distort the vote through massive albeit temporary increases in questionable participation.  To be fair, the same was probably the case in recent senatorial elections in the State of Georgia so it’s a bipartisan phenomenon.  It may also have been the case in the United States’ presidential election of 2020 (which reflected massive but subsequently not duplicated electoral participation).  So, what does Mr. Massie’s improbable defeat in Kentucky have to do with Colombian presidential elections about to take place?

Well, Mr. Massie was defeated by massive infusions of cash orchestrated by groups aligned with a foreign government, the State of Israel to be specific, and the State of Israel is very interested in the results of the presidential election in Colombia, as it was in the last presidential election in Argentina, and in Honduras and in El Salvador and in Bolivia and throughout Latin America, especially in those countries that have proven to be critics of Israeli genocide and ethnic cleansing.  In those countries, money illegally provided by Israel or Israeli supporters made the difference between the election of a progressive popular government and the victors, all governments led by admirers of current United States president Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu.  Two of the three leading candidates for the Colombian presidency are also admirers of Messrs. Trump and Netanyahu and, as in the case of the aforementioned Latin American countries, have been able to spend massive amounts of money on their campaigns, albeit not necessarily directly.  Somehow, social media has proven extremely kind to them, even beyond the posts admittedly paid for by them and their supporters (as was the case in Mr. Massie’s Kentucky primary election).  Indeed, attribution to the sponsors of the most outlandish Colombian posts is almost impossible to ascertain.…  Almost as though they involved intelligence agency professionals.

Notwithstanding the foregoing, neither of the pro-Zionist Colombian candidates currently leads the electoral pack.  That position is held by Senator Iván Cepeda Castro, a progressive follower of current Colombian president Gustavo Francisco Petro Urrego, a vocal critic of genocide and ethnic cleansing.  He has comfortably led throughout the electoral campaign in all reliable polls (although the term “reliable” with reference to polls may be an oxymoron).  His two chief competitors are Abelardo Gabriel de la Espriella Otero and Paloma Susana Valencia Laserna, both right wing politicians although Ms. Valencia has tried to capture some of the political center by ironically selecting as her running mate a gay male, Juan Daniel Oviedo Arango.  Ironic because Ms. Valencia has always been opposed to most LGBT+ issues but, as the ubiquitous “they” say “politics makes strange bedfellows”.  Mr. de la Espriella is a successful albeit unsavory lawyer having represented the worst elements of Colombian society including paramilitary death squad leaders and corrupt politicians.  He refers to himself as “el Tigre”, employs a sharp military salute whenever possible (despite, like Mr. Trump, having “legally” avoided compulsory military service) and is bereft of any government experience, running as an “outsider”.  Ms. Valencia on the other hand is from a prominent Colombian political family, has been a member of Congress for a long time and was personally selected as a candidate by former Colombian president Alvaro Uribe Velez.  She enjoys the support of most traditional political parties and politicians although party members in some cases, especially with respect to the Liberal Party, have refused to accept the decision of their party’s leaders.  In addition to the three front runners there are numerous other candidates, some of whom are well known, but none has more than a 3% following in recent polls.

Currently Mr. Cepeda, whose father was a Colombian senator assassinated by paramilitaries (such as those represented by Mr. de la Espriella) leads Mr. de La Espriella by more than 10% and Ms. Valencia by well over 20% but the sum of Mr. de la Espriella’s numbers and those of Ms. Valencia roughly equal those of Mr. Cepeda thus, while Mr. Cepeda is close to the 50% threshold for victory in the first round of elections, he is not there.  That makes a potential second round competitive, given the ideological compatibility of Mr. de la Espriella and Ms. Valencia and their mutual dedication to former president Uribe.  That creates an ideal scenario for foreign electoral interference in which both the State of Israel and the United States are clearly participants and rather well experienced.

The question then is, as it was in Kentucky, whether enough voters are willing sell out their country’s interests to foreign states, as voters in other Latin American countries have recently done (and, honestly, as has so often happened in the past) or whether given the disasters that the recently elected Trump and Netanyahu aligned right wing governments have proven to be (contrasted with the success on most fronts of Colombia’s current progressive government), Colombians will prove wiser and more patriotic than their continental counterparts (and also, wiser and more patriotic that the majority of United States’ voters in the State of Kentucky’s 4th Congressional District).

The reaction in the United States to Mr. Massie’s defeat has ranged from smug arrogance on the part of the Israeli-First component of Donald Trump’s MAGA coalition to dismay among those Trump voters who believed that he would prove different than the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC) owned presidents of the past half century, something that might lead to a huge electoral reversal for the Republican Party in the United States this November, although the reality is that AIPAC controls both the United States’ Republican and Democratic parties, at least at the leadership levels.  The decision in Colombia is likely to impact not only Colombia’s future but also elections in other countries, not least of which might be this autumn’s United States congressional elections, and it might also impact the future of the Middle East, realities of which Colombian voters, for the most part, are blissfully unaware.  In the meantime, as has apparently become the norm … everywhere, false news and rabid calumnies fill Colombian airwaves and social media.

So, Sunday, May 31, 2026, perhaps a day to be long remembered; …

Hopefully not in infamy.
_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.

A Brief Reflection on Gerrymandering and How to Minimize It

Gerrymandering is now completely out of control thanks to the GOP, the Democrats and the politicized judiciary.  The only practical solution is one adopted by most countries in the world and that is multi-legislator districts, preferably on a state wide basis, with proportional representation.  How would that work?  Or better yet, how does it work successfully in so many places. 

Well, take California with, I believe, 55 representatives elected to the House of Representatives.  Each California voter would have 55 votes which he or she could allocate to a single candidate (55) or divide among a number of candidates.  As an illustration, if a voter wanted to allocate his or her votes equally among eleven candidates, each would receive five votes, or the 55 votes could be distributed among the eleven candidates in any manner the voter deemed appropriate.  Or the voter could provide one vote each to 55 candidates.  California, with the largest representation in the House is the most complex example, states with less representation would be inversely simpler.  It is, in essence, what happens in the states that only elect one member to the House, it is a statewide contest with no gerrymandering possible. 

To make things easier, California and other states with large House membership could be divided into smaller voting districts.  In the California case for example, it could be divided into five voting districts, each electing eleven legislators,  While that would still permit efforts to distort the vote through gerrymandering, it would be more difficult to do so and less efficient, but in any case, much better that the single member system we have now.  And it can be implemented on a state by state basis through local legislation rather than on a federal level which would, in my opinion, require a constitutional amendment.  The latter might be the best solution for the long term but harder to implement. 

Something to consider for those who really care about electoral integrity rather than merely about maximizing the power of the political party to which they have become subservient.
_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.

“We the People” on the Concept of Oaths

In the United States there are sacrosanct symbols, especially the Constitution and the Flag, perhaps also the armed forces.  All public officers are required to take a solemn oath to protect and defend the Constitution; the citizenry at large is, at one time or another, required to do so in the form of the “Pledge of Allegiance” but I believe all of the foregoing are a mistake.  I believe it is a mistake because oaths are, or should be, not only solemn but sacred with consequences, serious consequences for their violation[1].  And the reality is that, as in the case of “sacred scriptures”, most people honor their oaths superficially, very visibly and audibly, but not profoundly.  Exceptions are the rule.

Take the Constitution.  The version promulgated in 1787 has been officially amended twenty-seven times, although amendments have sometimes cancelled each other out, for example, the 21st amendment repealed the 18th, and the 20th, 22nd, 23rd, and 25th amendments all redefined the election and succession processes.  However, unofficially, via purported “interpretation”, the Constitution has been amended thousands of times and each of the latter involves a violation of related sacred oaths.  The decision by John Marshall in the case of Marbury versus Madison where the concept of constitutional review was usurped by the Supreme Court[2] is a prime example but so was the Civil War (more accurately perhaps, the War Between the States).  The 16th and 17th amendments fundamentally altered the federal nature of the republic created by the Constitution as did, in a sense, the 13th, 14th, 15th, 18th and 19th each of which, in one sense or another, shifted power from the states to the federal government[3].

That violations of the sacred oaths involved may have been morally justified only emphasizes that the oaths to defend, preserve and uphold the Constitution should never have been required in the first place, especially given that the United States of America was founded on the principle of the propriety of oath breaking when circumstances deemed such violations of sacred honor justified.  All of the “Founding Father” broke their sacred oaths of allegiance to the British Crown.  In that respect, the case of Benedict Arnold is particularly meaningful raising the issue of which was worse, his initial violation of his oath to King George III or his violation of his subsequent oath to the Continental Congress?  And what of Robert E. Lee, placed in the impossible situation of either violating his oath to the federal government (which had, in effect, suspended the Constitution to which the oath had been made) or his oath to the State of Virginia?  Or what about Abraham Lincoln who clearly violated his oath to the Constitution in existence at the time he first took his oath of office and, of course, his pervious oaths as a Congressman and military officer which have been justified, properly perhaps, as required in order to fulfill his aspirations for a more just and powerful Union?

In my opinion, the only oath we should take is not to intangible symbols, usually too complex to comprehend and usually contradictory as well, but to “We the People”, a noble sociological and civic complex of interrelationships to which the symbols we revere should be inextricably bound.  But “We the People” is also a complex and frequently incoherent concept that seeks to meld contradictory beliefs such as “democracy” (the will of the majority), “liberty” (the autonomy of the individual, no matter what a majority believes) and pluralism (the protection of minorities in a quest for equality and equity) as well as to the amorphous, frequently contradictory concepts of legality versus justice; to due process and equal protection, to freedom of conscience, of expression and of assembly.  And what of the human tendency towards evolution?  Not only biologically but morally and ethically.  That which a society in one instant seeks to crystalize soon becomes calcified and obsolete.  Should a society be entitled to bind a future society through oaths to values that may become anachronistic?

Some of the concepts referenced above are reflected in the United States Constitution and, before that, in the Declaration of Independence, and many are embodied in the Charter of the United Nations[4].  But none of them encompass the totality of “We the People” although perhaps some guidance is provided in the Preamble[5] to the Constitution of the United States as to the role for which the concept of “We the People” was created; i.e., “We the People of the United States, in order to form a more perfect Union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity, do ordain and establish this Constitution for the United States of America.”

Based on the foregoing, perhaps, at least in the United States of America, the Preamble to the Constitution should be the crux of the only oath we should be asked to take.  One to the effect that, on our sacred honor we would each swear that we would  do all we can to “establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty to ourselves and our posterity”, understanding that “We the People” are not only those of us alive today but our ancestors and our descendants and that our actions and decisions need to take into account our traditions, our current needs and aspirations and the welfare and aspirations of our progeny.

Wouldn’t it be great if that was an oath not limited to citizens of the United States of America but to everyone, everywhere?  If we took such an oath seriously, as all oaths should be taken, then perhaps justice and equity and equality and the common welfare might indeed someday prevail in a world at peace.

Something that at least deserves our consideration.
_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.


[1] In this regard, perhaps the 3rd commandment of the Decalogue should be taken into account: “You shall not take the name of the Lord your God in vain, for the Lord will not hold him guiltless who takes his name in vain”, which refers to oaths using the “Lord’s” name as an enforcement mechanism.  Formal oaths in the United States are normally taken on the Christian Bible and in the name of the Abrahamic divinity (“So help me God”), notwithstanding the 1st Amendment to the Constitution’s secular requirements.

[2] See, e.g., Calvo Mahé, Guillermo et. al. (Jiménez Ramírez, Milton Cesar, editor, 2020): “Capítulo I. Evolución del control de constitucionalidad en los estados unidos.”; El control de la constitucionalidad en episodios: acerca del control constitucional como límite al poder; Universidad de Caldas, Facultad de ciencias jurídicas y sociales; Bogotá.

[3] See, e.g., Calvo Mahé (2023): “Motley Constitutionalism: a labyrinthine aphorism”; The Medium; July 30, 2023 available at https://guillermo-calvo-mahe.medium.com/motley-constitutionalism-a-labyrinthine-aphorism-9270c689f12d.

[4] Some aspects are also reflected in the Preamble to the Charter of the United Nations, i.e.:

We the peoples of the united nations, determined to save succeeding generations from the scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to mankind, and to reaffirm faith in fundamental human rights, in the dignity and worth of the human person, in the equal rights of men and women and of nations large and small, and to establish conditions under which justice and respect for the obligations arising from treaties and other sources of international law can be maintained, and to promote social progress and better standards of life in larger freedom, … to practice tolerance and live together in peace with one another as good neighbors, and to unite our strength to maintain international peace and security, and to ensure, by the acceptance of principles and the institution of methods, that armed force shall not be used, save in the common interest, and to employ international machinery for the promotion of the economic and social advancement of all peoples, have resolved to combine our efforts to accomplish these aims ….

[5] There are two very different perspectives with respect to preambles.  One is that they are merely aspirational without any binding effect.  The other, the one to which I ascribe, is that they embody the fundamental premises on which the promises and agreements which follow are based and to which they must conform, in the absence of which, the covenants embodied will have been extinguished.  In a constitutional sense, that would mean that no amendments could impact the concepts embodied in a preamble without destroying the constitution, and perhaps, at best, replacing it.  Something which occurred when the United States Constitution of 1787 unconstitutionally extinguished the Articles of Confederation, or, in the Republic of Colombia, when the Constitution of 1991 unconstitutionally replaced the Constitution of 1886.

Irreconcilable Incoherence and the Unalterable Demise of Empathy

Another “assassination” attempt in the United States.  The third one in two years.  All three directed at Donald J. Trump.  Several while he was a presidential candidate and now one as president.  Predictably, the president and his supporters blame Democratic criticism of Mr. Trump and the media’s reaction to the Epstein scandals while refusing to acknowledge that they themselves engage in similar rhetoric when given the chance, both branches of the AIPAC controlled uniparty doing everything possible to increase polarization within the United States electorate[1]

To me, the issue is more serious and more strategic.  What to me is very different this time is that the Trump administration no longer treats assassinations or murders of heads of state or of their families or of their cabinets and their families as crimes, at least when the United States and Israel engage in such activities.  The generality of such crimes which constitute violations of the most fundamental principal of international law, jus cogens, no longer seems applicable in the context of the United States and if assassination of political leaders is no longer a crime when engaged in by the United States, how would it then be a crime when engaged in against its own leaders?  Legal logic, possibly an oxymoron, would dictate that political assassination is either always or never legal.  In the pure legal sense, there is no room for self-serving hybrids.

Cole Tomas Allen, a 31 year old engineer, a purportedly highly intelligent and well educated individual, apparently believed that it was his duty to target Trump administration officials because of their connection to Jeffrey Epstein’s heinous crimes involving rape, pederasty, sexual abuse of minors, murder and satanic rituals, crimes which Mr. Allen’s targets refused to investigate, at least that’s what he claimed according to a note he sent family members minutes before the attack.  There are also allegations that he was a pro-Ukraine fanatic furious because of declining United States support for the Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskyy regime and even a photograph briefly posted on Instagram of Mr. Allen in an Israeli Defense Forces sweatshirt[2].  Indeed, “Never Trumpers” have little trouble believing that all three purported attempts on Mr. Trump’s life were orchestrated, something to which Mr. Trump’s reactions sometimes add credibility.  For example, immediately following the latest incident Mr. Trump and members of his cabinet went on the air to indicate how the incident proved the need for the “Big, Beautiful White House Ballroom” currently tied up in litigation.  Furthermore, Mr. Trump and his supporters used the incident to justify renewal of authority for warrantless spying on United States citizens.  Based on the prevalence of artificial intelligence, it’s impossible verify any of the allegations involving Mr. Allen’s motivation, ludicrous though they may be.  If they are. 

So, based on the foregoing, how is Mr. Allen to be judged based on the current state of the law?  Or is he to be judged at all?  After all, conviction without trial is hardly unusual now, at least when the United States is involved.  Or Israel.

Many people I know, men who I trust admire and respect and who share a similar educational background with me, at least through undergraduate studies, see no problem with what the United States and Israel have done to leaders in Iran, and in Gaza and in Lebanon and in Syria and in Libya and in Iraq.  The list goes on.  But they’re horrified when assassination is “attempted”, even unsuccessfully, in the United States, whether the attempts are successful or not and whether against United States political leadership or against civic leaders like Charlie Kirk (unless, of course, it involved an Israeli project, the assassination Charley Kirk and of United States president John F. Kennedy in 1963 comes to mind, or the attack on the USS Liberty).  Paranoia, apparently, is catching and I may have a touch, which brings to mind a probable urban myth concerning President Richard M. Nixon who, purportedly once exclaimed: “just because I may be paranoid does not mean there are not people out to get me.  In Mr. Nixon’s case he was obviously right (no pun intended).

So, is “the do as I say and not as I do” refrain some parents used in the past (perhaps some still do) applicable when it comes to legal concepts such as crimes?  In legal systems the concept of “comity”, a concept related to reciprocity, would seem applicable.  But do legal systems still exist?  Did they ever?  Or are they as much of an illusion as are the concepts of democracy or of liberty or of accountability for one’s actions regardless of who one is (i.e., that purportedly no one is above the las)?

It’s entirely possible that neither international nor constitutional law (at least United States constitutional law) now exist.  Perhaps only the “state of nature” posited in the seventeenth century by political philosopher Thomas Hobbes exists, one where only power matters (as Donald Trump has expressly stated).  The demise of law and of legal systems in an international context seems like a cancer metastasizing but one which may soon spread to domestic law.  Remember when, starting with the Obama administration, it became acceptable, if perhaps not really legal, for United States agents to kill United States citizens using drones and other means without a trial or even an indictment and without the excuse of self-defense?  I do.  It sickened me then, it sickens me now.  It especially sickens me when its probity among our citizenry depends on the political party in power at the time.  Especially in light of the reality that, in the United States, both major political parties are AIPAC owned, AIPAC bought and paid for.

My friends who find the extrajudicial execution of United States citizens and foreign leaders acceptable are, to the best of my knowledge, Christians, and religious Christians at that, and they claim to live in accordance with the Decalogue (the formal term for the Ten Commandments), or at least to try to do so.  Most insist that the Decalogue should be posted in classroom and courthouses and in public buildings and public spaces.  One of the commandments, not the least important, forbids murder.  But, then again, it’s never really been taken seriously as a universal proscription, after all, we have abortion and capital punishment and war and “collateral damage” and lately, much to the surprise of many of us but not to many of my friends, the perception that genocide itself is not really wrong, or that deliberate mass murder of hundreds of thousands of civilians, most women, children and the elderly, is not “technically” genocide.  Not any more anyway.  Most of my conservative friends also claim to believe in a “strict interpretation” of the United States Constitution adopted in 1787 and of the first ten amendments thereto (adopted shortly thereafter), the ones contained in what we refer to as the Bill of Rights.  However, their attitude towards both the Constitution and especially the Bill of Rights has undergone a gradual metamorphosis and strict construction is no longer as strict as it once was.  That is especially true with respect to the first, fourth and fifth amendments to the Constitution and with respect to the fourteenth amendment adopted following the War Between the States (also referred to as the Civil War, although there was nothing “civil” about it). 

I wonder what my friends would feel “duty bound to do” if, as Mr. Allen purportedly believed, they believed that Mr. Trump and members of his administration were in fact involved in rape, pederasty, pedophilia, murder and satanic rituals and that it seemed that their actions would never be prosecuted?  Would it matter?  Would they dare to take the law into their own hands as Mr. Allen purportedly attempted to do?  Should they?  I was once pretty sure they would, after all, they were heroes many times over under circumstances involving life and death, their own and those of men and women they commanded.  Now, I’m pretty sure they would not.  But also, that they should not.  John Wilkes Booth firmly believed that Abraham Lincoln was a tyrant responsible for hundreds of thousands of deaths.  Brutus believed the same with respect to Julius Caesar.  Indeed, most political assassins are firmly convinced of the justice of their respective causes.  And they are frequently not wrong.  But as a society, until very recently, political assassination was anathema.  Or at least purportedly anathema.[3]  Is that still the perspective we should adopt?  Pragmatically it is and should be despite the resulting impunity, otherwise political violence would be even more prevalent than it currently is.  But the lid to the amphora in which Pandora purportedly kept the ills of the world safely locked has been smashed to smithereens.

I’m not a believer in the divinity of the person my friends refer to as Jesus (his real name was the Aramaic rendering of Yešu), nor am I any longer a believer in the god Yešu is said to have worshipped, YHWH, and whose son Yešu purportedly was[4].  But I am a believer in many of the proscriptions contained in the Decalogue and specifically the proscription against killing, and I am a believer in many of the teachings concerning interpersonal relations attributed directly to Yešu.  And I am a believer in the United States Constitution although I think it is long overdue for a massive revamping[5].  Consequently, to me, any assassination is anathema, any murder is anathema and all genocide is anathema.  But the greatest crime of all may be the corruption of the bravest and best among us, those we believed would protect us from the evil and corruption that surrounds us, those who, seeing it all, now accept it as right and proper and patriotic.  Something certainly not unique to United States society.  It obviously occurred as the Weimer Republic came to an end.

That people who share backgrounds so similar to mine have such divergent perspectives so passionately held is problematic.  For all of us I suppose.  As is the profound general demise of empathy and tolerance which has been replaced with intolerant polarization and the rejection of the philosophies reflected in United States Bill of Rights, philosophies that the world seemed to admire so much and which many societies sought to emulate.  But today’s world seems more like one in which the most fervent fascists defeated in the Second World War would feel comfortable.  Assassination of political leaders and their families and extermination through genocide and ethnic cleansing has somehow become reasonable, at least to many, and the imbalance of wealth between the wealthiest and the poorest now seems an unbreachable chasm.  As in preludes to civil wars, we see each other, even within families, as not just mistaken but evil, and we seem unable to even consider the reasons others hold opposing views.  The apparent human instinct to vilify is availed of by tiny minorities comprised of the worst among us in order to keep us divided and easily controlled, fighting each other while we’re slowly bled, morally, ethically, economically and physically.  We react based on our fears rather than our hopes, fears that are induced rather than prudent, casting aside the values of tolerance that we had seemingly been developing over the past several centuries.  The values which echoed those the gentle Nazarene from Palestine tried to teach us millennia ago.  Values largely predicated on a single concept: empathy.

How is it that so many Christians, that so many military officers (both serving and retired) who have willingly put their lives at risk to uphold a noble system of values, now so cavalierly reject them?  How is that those who so cavalierly wasted the lives and welfare of so many of my fellow alumni[6] now rule unfettered and without sacrifice over us?  People like the current president of the United States and his predecessor Joseph Robinette Biden, or Barrack Obama, or George W. Bush, etc., people who have no “skin in the game”, either theirs or their families.  People who continue to send the best of us to waste their lives, taking the lives of other young men and women, other sons and daughters, other mothers and fathers, other siblings and friends as though they were irrelevancies because they were born elsewhere and feel as strongly about their values as we purport to feel about ours?

How sick is that?  How sick are we?  Where have our values gone?  Where has our humanity gone?  For what have we exchanged it?  Would our planet be a better place without us?  If Yešu in fact lived, whether as a divinity or merely as an ethical human being, what would he think of us, especially of those who promote assassination and murder and genocide and ethnic cleansing and inequity and inequality and injustice, in his name?

So, back to more current events, should we be surprised that political assassination attempts and that mass killings in our schools are seemingly becoming so normal when the organized mass murder of so many millions abroad has become praiseworthy and when the armaments industry has become the prime beneficiary of a major portion of our earnings?

Are we really as stupid and manipulable and lacking in decency as the worst among us hope?  It’s hard to imagine that we are when we think of those we love and respect but, when we listen to them now, when we read their posts and their opinions, the decency inherent within them seems to have vanished.  It seems to have been stolen in a manner identical to the way the virtue of children is stolen when they’re raped and abused.  Something sickeningly more common than until recently, until after Epstein and friends were brought into the light of day (sort of), we thought possible.  But our hypocrisy and lack of empathy and ability to rationalize makes it possible, heaven or something like heaven, help us.
_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.


[1] See, e.g., Fisher, Anthony L. (2026): “The shameless hypocrisy of MAGA’s post-WHCD attack blame game”; MS Now, April 28, 2026, 6:00 a.m., EDT.

[2] See, e.g., Olson, Cade (2026):  “The Correspondents’ Dinner Shooting, Time Travel, and Solomon’s Temple: Conspiracy Roundup”, Substack, April 28, 2026.

[3] The Central Intelligence Agency, the Mossad, Britain’s MI6, etc., clearly not only believed otherwise but acted otherwise.  Do you perhaps remember Ngô Đình Diệm and the havoc that ensued?  Or president Kennedy?

[4] Jews, of course, reject those assertions as discussed in the Toledot Yeshu (See Calvo Mahé (2024): “The Life of Yešu According to Diverse Jewish Sources”; Academia.edu.).  Muslims take an equivocal position between the two, respecting Yešu as the second most important man who ever lived, and as their savior, but not as divine.

[5] See Calvo Mahé (“2023): “Motley Constitutionalism: a labyrinthine aphorism”, Academia.edu.

[6] E.g., of graduates from the Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina and from the Eastern Military Academy, and from institutions like those that to me seem so noble, institutions like the Virginia Military Institute, the United States Military Academy at West Point, the United States Naval Academy at Annapolis, the United States Air Force Academy at Colorado Springs, Norwich University, Texas A&M, etc., and, of course, of the men they led.

On the Apotheotic Metamorphosis of Political Leaders and the Possibilities of Antichristic Reincarnation: a Gaelic Satire of Sorts


Abstract:  A Gaelic-style satire speculating on whether President Donald J. Trump is more likely to be a reincarnation of Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus or the Pauline antichrist or possibly both or neither, and whether quantum theories provide other possibilities. [1], [2]  

Key Words: “Trump”, Caligula, Antichrist, “Saul of Tarsus”, Reincarnation, “Evolutionary monist panentheism”, “Gaelic satire”, “Quantum Theories”.

There are people today who claim to believe that Donald John Trump, the current president of the United States is the antichrist[3], the one predicted by Saul of Tarsus in his guise as Paulus, the Roman Jew who created the religions today grouped together as Christianity[4].  Only a few of those who make that claim, however, are really religious.  Nonetheless, their message has resonated, albeit primarily among political opponents.  I believe there may be a more likely, less supernatural possibility (or perhaps metaphor): one involving the possibility of “reincarnation”.  That concept is usually relegated to metaphysics and oriental religions but it’s actually a pretty widely held, although perhaps not a firmly held, belief[5].  However, there is a tempting hypothesis that makes it sound reasonable, one involving “evolutionary monist panentheism[6]” premised on a belief that the omniverse may be sentient and that it evolves by learning through experience, experience acquired using reincarnation of its biological components as a tool.  Waste not want not. 

The reincarnation hypothesis is as difficult to prove as it is impossible to disprove and with reference to the scientific method the question always is, is it “testable”?  It is not, not yet, perhaps never.  No hypotheses concerning the “after life” are but yet, they are widely held and by some pretty smart people (as well, of course, by many people of questionable sanity).  Still, the reincarnation hypothesis seems at least as possible as Paul’s beliefs concerning the antichrist.  Until, of course, the antichrist shows up.  If he or she does.  That would tend to render the hypothesis tested.

So, let’s examine both of the foregoing hypotheses.  First we’ll look at reincarnative possibilities and then we’ll delve into antichristic possibilities and finally, we’ll very briefly consider other alternatives. 

Cheers!!!  A nice goblet of brandy may go very well with the following.

On the Possibility that the Current President of the United States is a Reincarnation of a Late Roman Princeps[7]:

We initiate this analysis by recalling an event that occurred during October of the 37th year of the Common Era (although the timeline had yet to be designated as such).  It involved a young fellow by the name of Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus (formerly just Gaius Julius Caesar, a name he shared with his great grandfather) but better known to history as “Caligula[8]” (“little boot”, a nickname he hated)[9].  That year Caligula (I’ll use that name given that I’m not all that fond of him) came to believe that he’d undergone an apotheotic metamorphosis and had been transformed, while alive, from a mortal into a divinity.  Such transformations, at that time, were not unusual but they generally occurred postmortem.  Today, well, it’s been a while, but ….

At the time of his apotheotic metamorphosis, Caligula was the anointed “princeps” (first citizen) of the Roman people, a title akin to that of Führer among twentieth century Germans (which raises another possible reincarnation scenario).  Caligula had many other titles though.  Titles which included but were not limited to Pater Patriae, Pontifex Maximus and consul (several time).  But for purposes of this speculation I especially like his title as “Optimus Maximus Caesar” (the Greatest and Best Caesar), one that would certainly appeal to Mr. Trump who would probably have added the term “Ever”.  Moderns seem to believe that Caligula was referred to as “emperor” but they’re mistaken, they frequently are. 

History has not treated Caligula kindly but then, history not infrequently[10] records events in a manner very different from that which an objective observer would consider accurate. History is, after all, a sort of calcified version of journalism and we know just how unreliable journalism can be.  It always has been[11].  All too frequently, as is the case of journalism and journalists, historical verities are completely obfuscated and, in the case of Caligula, or Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus if you prefer, that might well have been the case (Barrett, 2015).

Now to the crux of our speculation: i.e., events in the United States of America that took place on the weekend of April 11 through 12 of 2026 when a “president” of the United States (not quite the same as a “princeps”, at least not yet, at least not that we know of although some suspect) apparently had an experience analogous to that of young Caligula after a dispute with the now current Roman Pontiff, Robert Francis Prevost (whose papal name is Leo XIV).  Interestingly, like Caligula, Pope Leo is a man of many titles, one of which is shared with Caligula, that of Pontifex Maximus.  But Leo is not the object of our speculation.

For some reason hard to decipher other than perhaps a belief that he had been, was being or would be deified while alive, Mr. Trump publicly shared artificial intelligence assisted artwork on a self-serving (some would assert, self-aggrandizing) Internet platform which he founded and ironically named “Truth Social”.  The “artwork” portrayed Mr. Trump as a divinity, apparently as Yešu the Nazarene[12], the itinerant Palestinian Hebrew civic activist and healer who may have lived several millennia ago[13].  After due reflection, well after due reflection following massive public outrage, Mr. Trump removed the offending post claiming that he’d been misunderstood, as usual, and that the “artwork” merely depicted him as a “physician” curing a patient through non-traditional means.  An interesting reaction.

Many people throughout the world found Mr. Trump’s post reminiscent of the ancient Roman princeps Caligula and speculation concerning similarities between Mr. Trump and Caligula became rife, although such speculation was not new[14].  In Mr. Trump’s defense, he might have referenced the fact that, unlike Caligula, he has yet to seek a seat in the Senate for a horse of which he is fond although, while Mr. Trump does not currently own horses, he famously owned a thoroughbred originally named Alibi which he renamed “D. J. Trump”, one he purchased for $500,000 in 1988, but the horse never raced due to health issues and was later retired to stud[15] before dying in 1991[16].  Hmmm, “stud”, that’s purportedly how Mr. Trump perceives of himself but, given J.D.’s demise in 1991, no equine senatorial candidate is likely to be nominated by Mr. Trump, at least for now.  Still, his critics would likely have pointed out that like young Caligula, Mr. Trump also fancies himself a great artist (perhaps the greatest artist ever), or at least a great interior decorator (ditto).  And a great exterior decorator as well (with ballrooms and arches of triumph a new specialty).  Previously it had been hotels and golf courses.  And beauty pageants!  Both Caligula and the president were fond of beauty pageants although Caligula’s involved involuntary participation in erotic activities in the style of Mr. Trump’s former friend, Jeffrey Epstein, by the wives of members of the Roman Senate.  That possibility has yet to occur to Mr. Trump.  At least as far as we know.  If ever released, the Epstein files might indicate otherwise[17].

But, superficial anecdotes and similarities aside, … About reincarnation?  Is it possible that Caligula, whose career was cut short by his own Praetorians, is revisiting us?

Well, “possible” is a very open ended concept.  It’s possible that the world we perceive doesn’t exist[18] and that we’re just players in a nightmare being experienced by the earliest life form, perhaps the primal prokaryote, so perhaps reincarnation is possible and, if so, perhaps an angry and vengeful Caligula has returned to correct erroneous impressions or, perhaps, to confirm them.  Let’s assemble evidence so that we can make an informed guess, comparing young Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus with the current avatar of Donald John Trump (sometimes referred to, at his suggestion, as “the Donald”).  And let’s assemble it using the artificial intelligence of which the Donald seems so fond when creating images some might interpret as divine. 

According to a query concerning Caligula on the Internet platform known as Chrome and a response, apparently employing artificial intelligence, here is what is popularly known about Caligula’s attributes, with my own responsive observations concerning similarities with the Donald:

  • Divine Self-Image: Caligula frequently appeared in public dressed as various gods and demigods, such as Hercules, Mercury and Venus. He was known to have the heads removed from famous statues of gods and replaced with his own, treating himself as the supreme artistic masterpiece.”  Hmmm, to my knowledge, the Donald has yet to engage “publicly” in activities comparable to the foregoing (well, except with respect to planned changes in currency) but there is a sense that he just might, given time.  To date, he only does that in artificially enhanced artwork that he posts on his personal social media platform, “Truth Social”.  That’s something young Caligula could not match.  But similarities, hmmm.  Yep!
  • Oratory and Performance: Caligula was regarded as a “renowned declaimer” and enjoyed showing off his oratorical skills. He reportedly engaged in public performances and acted in various capacities, showcasing an ego that required public validation of his talents.”  While cognizanti concerning rhetoric and grammar ridicule Mr. Trump’s “eloquence”, he himself revels in displaying his oratorical antics and he certainly showcases an ego that requires public validation of his talents.  To his admirers and followers, he certainly seems to be a “renowned declaimer”.  So, once again, yep!
  • Emulating Hellenistic Kings: Caligula admired the style of Hellenistic rulers, who were often treated as living gods and viewed themselves as patrons or creators of high art.”  Hmmm, this raises interesting questions, especially in light of his latest antics.  It seems clear that Mr. Trump views himself, especially with respect to real estate construction, as a “creator of high art”, witness his decoration of the Oval Office and the White House, his planned White House Ballroom and his proposed Arch of Triumph (as well as his plans for Gaza).  And he also seems to see himself as a monarch (something he’s also portrayed on Truth Social with the help of artificial intelligence).  So, not a perfect match but then perfection is an elusive goal.  But similarities?  Yep!  Again.
  • Dismissal of Rivals: He was known to act with extreme arrogance, with accounts noting that “no one was allowed to outrank Caligula” in any regard”.  Well, in this regard Mr. Trump clearly outdoes young Caligula and that is even without regard to his recent denigration of Catholic Pope Leo XIV.  So; … absolutely!
  • Removal of Obstructions to Personal Power:  During his brief reign, Caligula worked to increase the unconstrained personal power of the princeps as opposed to countervailing powers within the Principate”.  That pretty definitely sounds like the Donald.  Separation of powers is certainly something he ignores as he ignores concepts such as the sovereignty of independent countries, the rules of international law and anything and everything that does not coincide with his personal morality of the moment (see, e.g., Yang, 2026).
  • Military Experience”; Caligula did not lead Roman troops in a conventional battle. In the year 40 of the Common Era but he marched an army to the English Channel for a planned invasion of Britain.  However, instead of fighting, he ordered the legionnaires to attack the waves with weapons and to collect seashells as “spoils of the sea” to celebrate an imagined victory over the sea god Neptune.”  While Mr. Trump attended a military high school in New York, he “declined” to serve in the military given that the conflict in Vietnam was not healthy for his feet[19].  He did however order the kidnapping of the president of Venezuela and a joint attack (along with Israel) on Iran, in both cases, hoping that their oil would qualify as a trophy, and he provided Israel with all the funds and armaments necessary to engage in genocidal ethnic cleansing throughout the Middle East.  That should count for something.
  • Impoverishing his subjects”: Caligula impoverished the Roman treasury by squandering 2.7 billion sesterces left by his predecessor, Tiberius, in less than a year. His lavish spending on spectacles, personal luxury and extravagant building projects led him to seize private property, raise taxes and resort to extortion to fund his reign.”  Hmmm, well, Mr. Trump also spends lavishly, largely at the behest of his buddy, Benjamin Netanyahu, and, together, they increased the United States national debt from less than twenty trillion dollars at the beginning of Mr. Trump’s initial term as president to almost forty trillion by the end of his fifth year in the presidency, albeit with a little help from his friend Joey Robinette Biden.  Well, not so much a friend as a bitter enemy but with shared values and goals (they both enjoyed plundering).  But Joey was the friend of a friend (Bibi) and it’s the thought that counts.  And Mr. Trump did raid and steal assets to help fund his extravagant ideas, especially from Venezuela.  Like Caligula (and Eric Cartman of South Park fame), the Donald’s motto has been “I can do whatever I want”!  And of course there’s the White House ballroom and the proposed Arc de Triomphe, etc., so, one more time, a hearty yep!

Hmm, it seems there may be disturbing trends echoing in from the past.  And they continue:

A Wikipedia entry with respect to Caligula[20] asserts that he was initially perceived as a “good, generous, fair and community-spirited” sort of guy but that he promptly became “increasingly self-indulgent, cruel, sadistic, extravagant and sexually perverted”, eventually evolving into “an insane, murderous tyrant who demanded and received worship as a living god, humiliated the Senate and planned to make his horse a consul”. However, the Wikipedia article notes that, on reflection, given the fact that his history was written by Senatorial detractors long after his assassination, modern historians “dismiss many of the allegations against him as misunderstandings, exaggerations, mockery or malicious fantasies”.   Well, the media, other than that controlled by pro-Israeli Zionists such as Fox News, has given Mr. Trump a pretty hard time up to now but, as a result, pro-Israeli Zionists have gone on a buying spree buying-up numerous media sources[21], especially those that have been critical of Mr. Trump, like CNN.  Sounds like the future may hold further similarities.  Here again echoes seem to ring loudly with reference both to the “unflattering” written conclusions concerning Mr. Trump and his defense by those inclined to view him more favorably.  Sycophants I think they’re called[22].

Continuing:

With reference to the observations of more prurient similarities between Mr. Trump and the Princeps, Caligula, for many decades Mr. Trump has been viewed as a sexual addict, a sexual predator and perhaps even a sexual pervert[23] (as was Caligula), especially given his close relationship with Jeffrey Epstein but, during his first term as president it can be argued that his intentions at least were “good, generous, fair and community-spirited”.  It is also clear that during that time his opponents engaged in a vicious and unfair campaign to discredit him[24].  However, apparently at least in part due to the abuse he suffered during his first term and even more, to the abuse he suffered during the Joseph Robinette Biden presidency, his second term has been very different from the positive aspects that seemed possible during his first term thus, all of the pejorative descriptions of Caligula seem to be have become germane with respect to Mr. Trump[25], except, of course, the references to equestrian matters.  At least for the nonce.  It seems unlikely that equines will soon obtain representation in the United States Senate; golf clubs however, may be a different matter.

Anyway:

Partially as a result of the Biden administration’s abuse of power and its own corruption following Mr. Trump’s initial term, a supportive reaction occurred among the electorate and he was elected to a non-consecutive second term, a rarity in United States political history.  He was elected amid expectations that he would reverse the Biden administration’s support for Israeli military adventures, genocide and ethnic cleansing and the foreign interventionism that had characterized four of the previous United States presidencies (the Clinton, Bush, Obama and Biden presidencies), after all, that’s what he’d promised (among a plethora of other things). 

So, another similarity crops up, predecessors!!  Caligula’s predecessor, Tiberius Claudius Nero (then Tiberius Julius Caesar, then Tiberius Julius Caesar Augustus) had been very unpopular towards the end of his reign and it was hoped, even expected, that the abuses of Tiberius would be curbed when Caligula came to power.  No such luck.  Pretty much the same can be said with respect to the Donald.  Almost immediately following his second inaugural however, all restraints were cast aside and delusions of grandeur comparable to those of young Caligula were made manifest. Well, at least more manifest than theretofore.  Indeed, Mr. Trump specifically insisted, in response to critics, that neither the United States Constitution nor international law nor the opinions of non-aligned religious leaders nor public opinion restricted his activities in any manner, only his own “morals of the moment” being relevant[26].  As a result, Mr. Trump has quickly become (as was the case with Caligula) the least popular president in recorded United States history[27], a perception shared throughout the world with the exception of genocidal Israel and the few world leaders who find both Mr. Trump and his apparent political master, Benjamin Netanyahu, men to be admired, a view however not shared by most of their subjugated populations.

The term “least popular” is complex though, at least among the United States electorate.  Mr. Trump’s most fervent followers profess to devout Christianity and continue to support him, no matter what, completely ignoring all vestiges of reality, even as his conduct becomes more and more deranged and at odds with the Christianity they claim to profess[28].  Thus this speculation (intended as a “satire” in the ancient Gaelic sense) is, in part, a reaction to the reactions of many people for whom the author cares and who he respects respects (having shared similar educational backgrounds) but whose ability to grasp reality now seems impossible for the author to understand.  Well, unless he takes into account the impact of B. F. Skinner’s behaviorist psychology and modern communications theory[29] and the apparent reality that facts not only do not impact strongly-held opinions but that contradictory facts seem to reinforce them[30].  The author is specifically alluding to attitudes by Mr. Trump supporting and enabling genocidal events in the Middle East by Israel, the Pearl Harbor-like attack on Iran by the United States and Israel and ignoring the Zionist attitude towards Christians in the Middle East where spitting on Christians and desecrating Christian artifacts and destroying churches is considered a Jewish tradition[31] (something with which non-Zionist Jews do not agree).  Facts with reference to the foregoing are plentiful and readily available but, as in the case of the “say no evil, see no evil and hear no evil simians”, such facts are blissfully ignored by United States citizens, many of them military veterans and religious Christians who one would think, based on heretofore shared values and shared educational experiences, would know better.  But they don’t, and they don’t aggressively.  They view those who believe as the author[32] does to be historically ignorant, deluded and lacking patriotism.  Fair enough.  Thus this “satire”.

So, enough about Mr. Trump as the incarnation of Caligula (for the moment).  The evidence is strong but not conclusive.  And we still have no definitive evidence that reincarnation exists at all, although it may be a possibility.  But what about Mr. Trump’s potential role as the antichrist?[33]

On the Possibility that the president of the United States is the Antichrist Envisioned by Saul of Tarsus (and others):

Some of Mr. Trump’s followers, perhaps many, assert that he is the catalyst for the second coming of Yešu and that his seemingly deranged current activities in the Middle East in support of the quest for Israeli hegemony should be seen as the precursors for the great battle they anticipate at Armageddon, the herald for Yešu’s return.  Of course, that would tend to support the hypotheses that Mr. Trump really is the antichrist[34] rather than merely the reincarnation of Caligula as the role of catalyst for Armageddon is usually ascribed to that entity.  But what are the purported attributes of the antichrist and how do they relate to Mr. Trump?  Again I’ll seek the assistance of a version of artificial intelligence as superficially provided by the Chrome Internet browser for assistance:  Based on Pauline prophecies the antichrist is depicted as a charismatic, deceitful global leader and dictator who appears during the end times[35]. Among his principal characteristics are the following, which I will compare with characteristics attributable to Mr. Trump:

  • The Man of Lawlessness/Sin: He is marked by total rebellion aiming to change established times and laws”.  Hmmm, pretty much on point as he has stated that he is bound neither by the Constitution or International law but only by his own “morality” of the moment (see, e.g., Yang, 2026), a morality that quickly changes as convenient.
  • “Blasphemous Ruler: He speaks arrogant words, blasphemes God.”  Hmm, I think Catholic Pope Leo XIV might have strong opinions on this point but, in a contrary fashion, so do his followers who equate his pronouncements with those of their god.
  • Charismatic Deceiver: He initially appears as a peaceful savior, using flattery and brilliant deception to gain power, often compared to a ‘little horn’ that grows in influence.”  Hmm, well, “ain’t that the truth!
  • Global Dictator: He will gain worldwide authority over nations and religions.”  Well, he certainly perceives himself in that light and is doing everything he can to make it a reality.
  • Economic Controller: He controls the global economy, forcing a mark on the right hand or forehead, forbidding anyone to buy or sell without it.”  Once again, hmmmm:  Donald Trump owns hundreds of trademarks and service marks globally, managed primarily through his company, DTTM Operations LLC. His portfolio includes over 800 trademarks in more than 80 countries, covering real estate, hotels, hospitality, apparel and merchandise, alongside political campaign slogans like “Make America Great Again”.  Aha!!!  MAGA.
  • Persecutor of Believers: He is a blood-thirsty dictator who wars against and destroys those who refuse to follow him.”  Wow!!!!  That pretty much describes the Donald, just ask former followers Tucker Carlson or Megyn Kelly or Candace Owens or Alex Jones or Clint Russell or Nick Fuentes, etc., and, of course, anyone who opposes him in any form.  Ask Pope Leo.

Observations & Contextualization

Although I usually refrain from using pejoratives such as “ignorant” and “stupid” (this speculation notwithstanding) because I feel they would be counterproductive if I am seeking to persuade, I have to admit that such thoughts do cross my mind.  And they sadden me with respect to the people who hold those beliefs who I personally know, men with whom I’ve studied or who’ve graduated from educational institutions I also attended.  And they are many.  Probably a majority.  Which leads me to ask myself how and why my perceptions and perspectives are so different from theirs.  That I may be wrong and they may be right is an essential postulate with respect to an open mind.  Empathy calls and only empathy can someday resolve our differences, assuming that empathy somehow survives.  Well then, a bit of personal revelation (a sort of pun) is probably in order, revelation that seems relevant in light of the nature of most current Trump supporters (other than Israelis) who believe themselves to be devout Christians (or else devout Zionists).  Revelation that may help to explain the differences in our perceptions, as well as similarities that may someday provide resolution. 

I’ve explored religions since I was seven years old[36] and as a young adult, taught courses on comparative religions and comparative mythologies.  Based on my research and on profound reflections I’ve come to rejected most, perhaps all the religions I’ve studied, at least as postulated, although I’ve not rejected their fundamental premises[37].  I’ve studied religions primarily from historical and philosophical perspectives using historical and philosophical sources accompanied by deep personal introspection, frequently introspection facilitated as I wrote and puzzled over, … well, the myriad puzzles[38] religions present, puzzles where questions multiply as answers become more and more evasive, although answers are not required where “faith” can substitute for facts and logic.  In doing so I encountered doctrines that were purportedly espoused[39] by Yešu and I found the precepts attributed directly to him with respect to interpersonal relationships both worthy and generous, with a sweet undertone, as opposed to those ascribed to the Pharisee, Saul of Tarsus so beloved of Trump supporters, whose doctrines seemed mean spirited and callous to me, all too frequently aligned with fund raising and control, almost the opposite of those attributed directly to Yešu.  And, of course, Saul is the primary originator of the antichrist mythos.

The association of Pauline Christianity with Mr. Trump is certainly a point of departure from Caligula who reigned during the birth of the movement that sprung up around Yešu during his lifetime.  But it’s a point of contact with respect to speculation involving the antichrist.  Caligula probably reigned shortly after Yešu’s demise, his demise either through crucifixion by the Romans, as related in what has come to be referred to as the New Testament, or torture, stoning and hanging by the Jerusalem Sanhedrin, as related in diverse versions of the Jewish Toledot Yeshu[40].  Muslims reject the notion that he was put to death and insist that Yešu (Isa to them) survived and eventually ascended directly into Heaven without a sojourn in Hell.  Caligula reigned from the years 37 through 41 of the Common Era and likely had no direct contact with or knowledge of early followers of Yešu (not yet Christians), who were still a small, emerging Jewish sect.  Of course, Mr. Trump’s Christian followers are more correctly followers of one of the many Pauline religions premised mainly on the death of Yešu rather than on the precepts he sought to imbue.  So, in matters of religion, the nexus between Mr. Trump and Caligula suffers from a temporal vacuum when it comes to how we might compare them other than the seeming fact that both appear to consider themselves divinities and that neither particularly respected religion, except in so far as it served to aggrandize them.  But the differences between Yešu’s ethical and moral teachings with respect to interpersonal relations and the divergent Pauline doctrines do a lot to explain the differing perceptions among those of us who otherwise share such similarities in education and values.  After all, Yešu never mentioned a “Christ” or an “antichrist”.

Far Off Hypotheses and Conclusions:

Wow, Caligula reincarnated versus the Pauline antichrist, it seems like a tie. 

In neither case is there demonstrably definitive probative evidence that either concept is valid which, however, is not the same as indicating that no supporting evidence exists.  “Demonstrably definitive probative evidence” is a much harder standard of proof than the “beyond a reasonable doubt standard” required for criminal conviction.  But there is definitely adequate proof that a Donald J. Trump exists (unfortunately) and it is very likely that there was a Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus and a Saul of Tarsus and even a Yešu as well.

So, where are we in this comparative speculation in the guise of a Gaelic satire?  Are there any other possible conclusions we might want to consider?

Well, to be honest, farfetched though they may be, there are other alternative hypotheses concerning the possible apotheoses of Caligula and or Mr. Trump or others?  Indeed, there are several to the effect that fictional characters can incarnate.  One is posited by Daniil Andreev and taken seriously by some fairly intelligent people[41].  And supposedly “quantum” theories have confused everything while they have made everything possible.  So let’s speculate a bit on that hypothesis as a final element worthy of a Gaelic satire.  How about a presidential version of Yosemite Sam?  Yosemite Sam first came to public awareness during 1945, the year prior to the Donald’s birth.  While I personally don’t believe it’s likely that cartoon characters can reincarnate but the similarity is also, in some respects, uncanny.  My apologies to Sam.  The same holds true for Eric Cartman of South Park fame, another Donald Trump act-alike. 

So, in light of the foregoing, what might we conclude, recalling that this is a speculation in the form of a Gaelic satire?

Well, it’s theoretically possible that both primary speculations concerning Mr. Trump are accurate and that he is Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus reincarnated and that both are the antichrist anticipated by Paulus, formerly Saul of Tarsus.  A sort of ribbon on this satiric package.  One seemingly more reasonable than the Yosemite Sam or Eric Cartman hypotheses.  Or, of course, none may be accurate and Mr. Trump may be sui generis, as he believes, although the nature of his uniqueness is certainly up for debate and may well be debated for centuries (as is the case with Caligula), assuming that the world survives Mr. Trump’s presidency.  At any rate, in closing, a traditional Gaelic “aspiration” may well be appropriate with reference to Mr. Trump:

Imeacht gan teacht ort!”

Interested readers may want to look it up.  It is certainly not the worst malediction one might contrive.

I wonder if this speculation qualifies as a syllogism, albeit a sarcastic and satirical syllogism.

Bibliography & Sources

Andreev, Daniil (1957, published in English 1997): The Rose of the World (translated by Jordan Roberts); Lindisfarne Books, London.

Barrett, Anthony A. (2015): Caligula: The Abuse of Power. 2nd ed. Routledge, London.

Brooks, Bras; Coster, Helen; Ax, Joseph (2026): “Trump’s AI image of himself as Jesus-like figure follows feud with Pope Leo”; Reuters, April 13, 202611:08 a.m., updated April 14, 2026, available at https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/trump-posts-ai-image-himself-jesus-like-figure-drawing-outrage-2026-04-.13/#:~:text=Trump’s%20AI%20image%20of%20himself,follows%20feud%20with%20Pope%20Leo&text=Trump’s%20post%20depicts%20him%20in,with%20hand%20on%20man’s%20head.

Brown, Mark (2016): “Donald Trump has ‘fascinating parallels’ with Caligula, says historian”; The Guardian, June 1, 2016, available at https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jun/01/donald-trump-has-fascinating-parallels-with-caligula-says-historian.

Calvo Mahé, Guillermo (2024): “The Life of Yešu According to Diverse Jewish Sources”; Academia.edu available at https://www.academia.edu/124579552/The_Life_of_Ye%C5%A1u_According_to_Diverse_Jewish_Sources.

Calvo Mahé, Guillermo (2025): “Panentheistic Reflections on Evolutionary Structure”; The Inannite Review, Substack, September 28, 2025 available at https://open.substack.com/pub/guillermocalvomah/p/panentheistic-reflections-on-evolutionary?r=lwzkv&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web.

Chalmers, D. J. (2022): Reality+: Virtual worlds and the problems of philosophy; W. W. Norton & Company, New York City.

Clayton, P. (2004): Mind and emergence: From quantum to consciousness. Oxford University Press, New York City.

Frankel, Jeffrey (2026). “Caligula Reincarnated.” Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, February 6, 2026.  Harvard Kennedy School; Cambridge, available at https://www.belfercenter.org/research-analysis/caligula-reincarnated.

Gibson, Caitlin (2017): “The Sad Saga of Thoroughbred D. J. Trump, Donald Trump’s Lone Foray into Horse RacingWashington Post, May 19, 2017 available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/sports/wp/2017/05/19/the-sad-saga-of-thoroughbred-d-j-trump-donald-trumps-lone-foray-into-horse-racing/.

Hedges, Chris (2026): “Trump the God”; The Chris Hedges Report, April 20, 2026 available at https://open.substack.com/pub/chrishedges/p/trump-the-god?r=lwzkv&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web.

Jones, Sarah (2019): “Here’s how We’d Really Know That Trump Is the Antichrist”; Intelligencer, August 21, 2019 available at https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/heres-how-wed-really-know-that-trump-is-the-antichrist.html.

M.K., anonymity required for personal protection (2023): “Spitting on Christians by Jewish fanatics continues”, WAFA, Palestinian News & Information Agency, October 4, 2023 available at https://english.wafa.ps/Pages/Details/137914.

McGinn, Bernard (1994): Antichrist: Two Thousand Years of the Human Fascination with Evil; HarperSanFrancisco, San Francisco.

McLaughlin, Roisin (2008): “Early Irish Satire”; Journal of the Galway Archaeological and Historical Society, Volume 62, January 2010; School of Celtic Studies, Dublin Institute for Advanced Studies. Dublin.

Morris EK, Smith NG, Altus DE. B. F. (2005): “Skinner’s contributions to applied behavior analysis”; The Behavior Analyst, Volume 28 Number Two, Fall 2005, pp. 99-131, available at https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2755377/#:~:text=Our%20paper%20reviews%20and%20analyzes%20BF%20Skinner’s,role%20as%20the%20field’s%20originator%20and%20founder.

Nyhan, B. and Reifler, J. (2010):  “When corrections fail: The persistence of political misperceptions”. Political Behavior, Volume 32 Issue 2, pp. 303-330 available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/40587320.

Pauli, Adolf F. (1958): “Letters of Caesar and Cicero to Each Other”; The Classical World, Vol. 51, No. 5 (Feb., 1958), pp. 128-132.  The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/4344010.

Rottinghaus, B., & Vaughn, J. S. (2024): Presidential Greatness Project Expert Survey 2024. University of Houston; Coastal Carolina University. 

Shane, Leo, III (2019): “Trump made up injury to dodge Vietnam service, his former lawyer testifies”; Military Times Feb 27, 2019 available at https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2019/02/27/trumps-lawyer-no-basis-for-presidents-medical-deferment-from-vietnam/.

Sheehan, Colleen A. (2004): “Madison v. Hamilton: The Battle Over Republicanism and the Role of Public Opinion”; American Political Science Review, Volume 98, Issue 3, August 2004 pp. 405–424, available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/4145337].

Schneid, Rebecca (2025): “Inside Trump and Epstein’s Long, Complicated Relationship”; Time Magazine, Nov 12, 2025 available at https://time.com/7333365/trump-epstein-relationship-timeline/.

Stevenson, I. (1997). Reincarnation and Biology: A Contribution to the Etiology of Birthmarks and Birth Defects (Vols. 1–2). Praeger Publishers, Westport, CT.

Tabor, James D. (2013): Paul and Jesus: How the Apostle Transformed Christianity; Simon & Schuster, New York City.

Whitehead, Andrew L. and Samuel L. Perry. 2020. Taking America Back for God: Christian Nationalism in the United States. Oxford University Press, New York City.

Wikipedia contributors. (2026, April 12). Caligula. In Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 00:42, April 20, 2026, from https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Caligula&oldid=1348470896.

Yang, Maya (2026): “‘I don’t need international law’: Trump says power constrained only by ‘my own morality’; The Guardian, Thursday January 8, 2026, 21.19 GMT, last modified on Sunday January 11, 2026 17.28 GMT, available at https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/08/trump-power-international-law.

_____

© Guillermo Calvo Mahé; Manizales, 2026; all rights reserved.  Please feel free to share with appropriate attribution.  This “speculation” or Gaelic satire was first published on Academia.edu.

Guillermo (“Bill”) Calvo Mahé (a sometime poet and aspiring empirical philosopher) is a writer, political commentator and academic currently residing in the Republic of Colombia (although he has primarily lived in the United States of America of which he is also a citizen). Until 2017 he chaired the political science, government and international relations programs at the Universidad Autónoma de Manizales. Previously, he chaired the social studies and foreign language departments at the Eastern Military Academy in Huntington, New York. He is currently the publisher of the Inannite Review available at Substack.com; an intermittent commentator on radio and television; and, an occasional contributor to diverse periodicals and publications. He has academic degrees in political science (BA, The Citadel, the Military College of South Carolina), law (JD, St. John’s University, School of Law), international legal studies (LL.M, the Graduate Division of the New York University School of Law) and translation and linguistic studies (GCTS, the University of Florida’s Center for Latin American Studies). However, he is also fascinated by mythology, religion, physics, astronomy and mathematics, especially with matters related to quanta, cosmology and cosmogony. He can be contacted at guillermo.calvo.mahe@gmail.com and much of his writing is available through his blog at https://guillermocalvo.com/.


[1] This piece is way too long, even as a Gaelic satire, but I just couldn’t help myself and for those with the patience to read it, I think you’ll find it at least entertaining and possibly informative.  Give it a try!!  I double down dare you!  It’ll piss Donald Trump off no end. 

Apologies: I hereby formally and sincerely apologize, beforehand and as an afterword, to Pope Leo XIV, to Yešu, to all my friends who will be offended by a Gaelic satire directed at someone they love, to fundamentalist Zionist Christians in general, to Yosemite Sam, to Eric Cartman and to Gaius Julius Caesar Augustus Germanicus.  Better late than never.  Finally, last but not least, should it turn out that Saul of Tarsus (a/k/a Paulus) was indeed the antichrist, my apologies for having attributed that possibility to Mr. Trump and to Mr. Germanicus (assuming that is the proper modern manner of addressing Caligula).

[2] For Gaelic satire, see generally McLaughlin, Roisin (2008): “Early Irish Satire”; Journal of the Galway Archaeological and Historical Society, Volume 62, January 2010; School of Celtic Studies, Dublin Institute for Advanced Studies. Dublin.

[3] For an academic discussion of the antichrist, see McGinn, Bernard (1994): Antichrist: Two Thousand Years of the Human Fascination with Evil; HarperSanFrancisco, San Francisco.

[4] See, e.g., Tabor, James D. (2013): Paul and Jesus: How the Apostle Transformed Christianity; Simon & Schuster, New York City.

[5] For an academic study delving into the possibility of reincarnation, see generally Stevenson, I. (1997). Reincarnation and Biology: A Contribution to the Etiology of Birthmarks and Birth Defects (Vols. 1–2). Praeger Publishers, Westport.

[6] “Evolutionary monist panentheism” is a philosophical and theological worldview that posits that all reality exists within a single, interconnected divine being that is both beyond the universe (transcendent) and immanent within it. This divine reality is not static; rather, it is constantly evolving alongside the universe, with all constituent parts striving toward greater complexity and “perfection”.  See generally Clayton, P. (2004): Mind and emergence: From quantum to consciousness. Oxford University Press, New York City; see also Calvo Mahé, Guillermo (2025): “Panentheistic Reflections on Evolutionary Structure”; The Inannite Review, Substack, September 28, 2025 available at https://open.substack.com/pub/guillermocalvomah/p/panentheistic-reflections-on-evolutionary?r=lwzkv&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web.

[7] See, e.g., Frankel, Jeffrey (2026). “Caligula Reincarnated.” Blog Post.  Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, February 6, 2026.  Harvard Kennedy School; Cambridge, available at https://www.belfercenter.org/research-analysis/caligula-reincarnated.

[8] A sort of strange confession impacting my probable lack of objectivity concerning Caligula is in order.  The paternal line of my family (the Calvi) has long clung to what to me appears to be a historical delusion (a variant on an urban myth so, a family myth).  Some among them claim ancestry from a certain Gaius Calvisius Sabinus who was a Roman consul in the year 26 of the Common Era.  A prior Calvisius Sabinus from whom they also claim descent was co-consul with Octavian during the 4th year prior to the Common Era, the purported year of Yešu’s birth, at least according to some.  The former  Calvisius Sabinus (although later in time) was a Roman senator who fell out of favor during Caligula’s reign, long after he’d served as consul, because he and his wife Cornelia had been accused of conspiring against the Princeps (a point of pride among those old members of my family who cling to the myth). To avoid a certain conviction Calvisius and Cornelia both committed suicide during the year 39 of the Common Era thus avoiding the trial.  Notwithstanding my certainty that the familial relationship is mythical, it did impact my earliest perceptions with respect to Caligula.  On the other hand, given evolutional biological probabilities, most people with southern European roots may well be descended indirectly from most people who bore children in that region during antiquity. Just not in a direct line as my own ancestors seem to believe.

[9] For a detailed academic discussion relating to Caligula, see generally Barrett, Anthony A. (2015): Caligula: The Abuse of Power. 2nd ed. Routledge, London.

[10] A double negative, I know, I know, I claim poetic license, after all, Gaelic satires are poetic in nature.

[11] “Yellow Journalism” preceded the Pulitzer – Hearst battles of the 19th century, see for example, the vicious journalistic battles involving Founding Fathers Thomas Jefferson (with the assistance of James Madison) versus Alexander Hamilton and even Aaron Burr [see, e.g., Sheehan, Colleen A. (2004): “Madison v. Hamilton: The Battle Over Republicanism and the Role of Public Opinion”; American Political Science Review, Volume 98, Issue 3, August 2004 pp. 405–424, available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/4145337] and, even before Caligula, Marcus Tullius Cicero and Gaius Julius Caesar engaged in written rhetorical battles were truth was not infrequently victimized, see, e.g., Pauli, Adolf F. (1958): “Letters of Caesar and Cicero to Each Other”; The Classical World, Vol. 51, No. 5 (Feb., 1958), pp. 128-132.  The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/4344010.

[12] Known primarily under Greek variants of the name such as Jesus (English), Jesús (Spanish), Jésus (French), Gesù (Italian), and Yesu (Swahili/Hindi).

[13] See Brooks, Bras; Coster, Helen; Ax, Joseph (2026): “Trump’s AI image of himself as Jesus-like figure follows feud with Pope Leo”; Reuters, April 13, 202611:08 a.m., updated April 14, 2026, available at https://www.reuters.com/business/media-telecom/trump-posts-ai-image-himself-jesus-like-figure-drawing-outrage-2026-04-.13/#:~:text=Trump’s%20AI%20image%20of%20himself,follows%20feud%20with%20Pope%20Leo&text=Trump’s%20post%20depicts%20him%20in,with%20hand%20on%20man’s%20head.

[14] See, e.g., Brown, Mark (2016): “Donald Trump has ‘fascinating parallels’ with Caligula, says historian”; The Guardian, June 1, 2016, available at https://www.theguardian.com/books/2016/jun/01/donald-trump-has-fascinating-parallels-with-caligula-says-historian.

[15] That was probably a better reward for a beloved horse than a seat in our contentious Senate.

[16] See Gibson, Caitlin (2017): “The Sad Saga of Thoroughbred D. J. Trump, Donald Trump’s Lone Foray into Horse RacingWashington Post, May 19, 2017 available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/sports/wp/2017/05/19/the-sad-saga-of-thoroughbred-d-j-trump-donald-trumps-lone-foray-into-horse-racing/.

[17] See, e.g., Schneid, Rebecca (2025): “Inside Trump and Epstein’s Long, Complicated Relationship”; Time Magazine, Nov 12, 2025 available at https://time.com/7333365/trump-epstein-relationship-timeline/.

[18] See, e.g., Chalmers, D. J. (2022): Reality+: Virtual worlds and the problems of philosophy; W. W. Norton & Company, New York City.

[19] See, e.g., Shane, Leo, III (2019): “Trump made up injury to dodge Vietnam service, his former lawyer testifies”; Military Times Feb 27, 2019 available at https://www.militarytimes.com/news/pentagon-congress/2019/02/27/trumps-lawyer-no-basis-for-presidents-medical-deferment-from-vietnam/.

[20] Not that Wikipedia is always a reliable source, especially as to things about which exuberant contributors feel strongly.  Caligula, however, for now, seems a safe topic.  See Wikipedia contributors. (2026, April 12). Caligula. In Wikipedia, the Free Encyclopedia. Retrieved 00:42, April 20, 2026, from https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Caligula&oldid=1348470896.

[21] E.g., Paramount Global, Warner Brothers Discovery, HBO/HBO Max, CNN, DC Comics and Warner Bros. Pictures and TikTok USA, etc.

[22] Hedges, Chris (2026): “Trump the God”; The Chris Hedges Report, April 20, 2026 available at https://open.substack.com/pub/chrishedges/p/trump-the-god?r=lwzkv&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web.

[23] See, e.g., Padilla, Mariel (2023): “Defend and Deny: What we know about Trump and accusations of sexual misconduct”; The 19th, October 26, 2023, 11:04 updated November 14, 2025, available at https://19thnews.org/2023/10/donald-trump-associates-sexual-misconduct-allegations/#:~:text=Jill%20Harth%2C%20who%20worked%20with,according%20to%20the%20Associated%20Press.

[24] Indeed, this author frequently defended Mr. Trump in diverse published articles as well as on radio and television from a number of the unfair attacks levelled against him although always stressing that such defense did not indicate positive support for Mr. Trump or for Mr. Trump’s conduct, beliefs or proposed policies.  While I profoundly regret the fact that Mr. Trump has been elected president of the United States and, as in the case of his predecessor, has been a facilitator directly responsible for genocide, ethnic cleansing and Israel’s campaign of lebensraum in the Middle East, I do not regret having defended him from unfair accusations and attacks which in fact made him more popular than ever.  Such defense, I feel, provides my critiques of Mr. Trump with more credibility, at least I hope so.

[25] Hmm, that brings up another possibility, one unrelated to the antichrist or reincarnation, spiritual possession.  But that’s beyond the scope of this already far too long “speculation”.

[26] See Yang, Maya (2026): “‘I don’t need international law’: Trump says power constrained only by ‘my own morality’; The Guardian, Thursday January 8, 2026, 21.19 GMT, last modified on Sunday January 11, 2026 17.28 GMT, available at https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/08/trump-power-international-law.

[27] See, e.g., Rottinghaus, B., & Vaughn, J. S. (2024): Presidential Greatness Project Expert Survey 2024. University of Houston; Coastal Carolina University.

[28] See, e.g., Whitehead, Andrew L. and Samuel L. Perry. 2020. Taking America Back for God: Christian Nationalism in the United States. Oxford University Press, New York City.

[29] See, e.g., Morris EK, Smith NG, Altus DE. B. F. (2005): “Skinner’s contributions to applied behavior analysis”; The Behavior Analyst, Volume 28 Number Two, Fall 2005, pp. 99-131, available at https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC2755377/#:~:text=Our%20paper%20reviews%20and%20analyzes%20BF%20Skinner’s,role%20as%20the%20field’s%20originator%20and%20founder.

[30] See, e.g., Nyhan, B. and Reifler, J. (2010):  “When corrections fail: The persistence of political misperceptions”. Political Behavior, Volume 32 Issue 2, pp. 303-330 available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/40587320.

[31] See, e.g., M.K. (anonymity required for personal protection; 2023): “Spitting on Christians by Jewish fanatics continues”, WAFA, Palestinian News & Information Agency, October 4, 2023 available at https://english.wafa.ps/Pages/Details/137914.

[32] Okay, I’ll confess, “I” am the author referenced above.  I was just briefly trying to maintain a more academic attitude which for some reason eschews use of the first person.  But that has quickly become tedious.  I will therefor return to using I, or me, or myself, etc., from here on out.  I can almost sense the grammatical first person smiling while the third person frowns.

[33] As a disclaimer or better yet, an admission, I’ve always believed that if an antichrist ever existed it was the man who invented the concept, Saul of Tarsus but, for purposes of this speculation, I’ll pretend to keep an open mind.  Sort of the way a journalist would.

[34] See, e.g., Jones, Sarah (2019): “Here’s how We’d Really Know That Trump Is the Antichrist”; Intelligencer, August 21, 2019 available at https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2019/08/heres-how-wed-really-know-that-trump-is-the-antichrist.html.

[35] See generally McGinn, Bernard (1994), supra.

[36] Hence my familiarity with reincarnation in the evolutional monist panentheistic sense.

[37] I confess however to being drawn to the concept of evolutional monist panentheism in an agnostic sense.

[38] As a barely relevant (perhaps irrelevant) aside, I’ve taught comparative religions in conjunction with which I’ve studied all three branches of the Abrahamic faiths as well as the Indian religions (all Indian religions revolve around a mixture of Hindu concepts sometimes mixed somehow with Islam), Buddhism, Zoroastrianism, Theosophy, primitive mythologies (which my students wisely referred to as “other peoples’ religions), etc.  In trying to understand current world politics, a study of the Abrahamic religions and their interrelationship seems essential and my friends, those who were catalysts for this speculation, clearly have a poor and superficial understanding of that topic which may help explain our divergent perspectives.  The Three Abrahamic religions, Judaism, Christianity and Islam are a complex mix of contradictions and their interrelationship is incoherent.  Islam is the bridge between the toe polar opposites, Judaism and Christianity.  It shares a very positive view of Yešu with Christianity but shares the strict monotheism of Judaism thus Islam respects both of its two related religious branches.  Indeed, were it not for Islamic tolerance, Judaism might well have been successfully expunged by intolerant Christians but, as has occurred with the Persians who saved the Hebrews from their Babylonian exile, Islam is facing existentially genocidal attacks as Israel, with United States assistance, picks off one group of Muslims after another while wealthy Muslim countries watch, perhaps not realizing their turn is coming (reminiscent of the situation criticized by German pastor Martin Niemöller with reference to the cowardice and inaction of spectators during the Nazis’ rise to power, see United States Holocaust Memorial Museum. [2023, April 11] Martin Niemöller: “First they came for the Socialists…”Holocaust Encyclopedia. Retrieved April 21, 2026, from https://encyclopedia.ushmm.org/content/en/article/martin-niemoeller-first-they-came-for-the-socialists).

[39] A sort of a digression (again), a sort of silly one this time, I’ve also studied linguistics and words tend to fascinate me.  As I wrote the word “espoused” above it occurred to me to reflect on its etymology and how it is related to both marriage on the one hand (spouse) and to support for a cause.  I guess both concepts involve “support” albeit in very different senses.  According to Chrome, the link involves a “commitment”.  Rats!  Now I’ve become interested in the etymology of the term “commit” and its use with respect to dedication as opposed to a sort of imprisonment.

[40] See, e.g., Calvo Mahé, Guillermo (2024): “The Life of Yešu According to Diverse Jewish Sources”; Academia.edu available at https://www.academia.edu/124579552/The_Life_of_Ye%C5%A1u_According_to_Diverse_Jewish_Sources.

[41] Strange as it may seem, the concept of fictitious characters incarnating or “reincarnating” into reality has been explored in both esoteric writing and speculative fiction.  See, e.g., Andreev, Daniil (1957, published in English 1997): The Rose of the World (translated by Jordan Roberts); Lindisfarne Books, London.  In The Rose of the World (Roza Mira) Mr. Andreev posits that fictional characters are not merely products of the imagination but rather entities that exist in other planes of reality and are channeled by poets and artists.  Consequently, he proposed a complex meta-geography where fictional characters can be seen as manifestations or indeed, as beings, either demonic or enlightened, that enter the human consciousness through creative inspiration.  Hmmm!!!  Pretty interesting.